Keys for the San Francisco 49ers in Monday's Matchup vs. Atlanta Falcons

Jasper SchererAnalyst IIDecember 18, 2013

SAN FRANCISCO, CA - DECEMBER 01:  Colin Kaepernick #7 of the San Francisco 49ers drops back to pass against the St. Louis Rams during the third quarter at Candlestick Park on December 1, 2013 in San Francisco, California.  (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

You know the saying: “Any given Sunday.” Which is why the San Francisco 49ers must be careful in their Week 16 matchup against the Atlanta Falcons.

In the week following Monday's game, the 49ers face the playoff-contending Arizona Cardinals, but that matchup won’t matter, at least in terms of clinching a playoff spot, if the Niners beat the Falcons. (It will have playoff seeding implications, however.)

In short, the 49ers have no need to look past this game.

With the extra time to prepare for their matchup on Monday Night Football, to what will the 49ers turn their focus? They are facing one of the worst defenses in the NFL, both in terms of yards allowed and points allowed. In addition, the Falcons rank 22nd in the NFL in points scored.

So, with all of Atlanta's deficiencies, how can the 49ers best ensure that they eliminate any chance of an upset? Here are three keys to a 49ers victory on Monday.


Continued Success Against the Pass

The Falcons’ only strength, and thus one of their only chances of competing on Monday, lies in their passing game. Despite the team’s 4-10 record, Matt Ryan is still a solid quarterback. He has somehow compiled strong numbers (22 TDs, 3,887 yards, 66.4 percent completion rate, 88.9 rating) with the cards he has been dealt, which include injuries to his top two wide receivers and a substandard offensive line.

However, turnovers have been Ryan’s Achilles' heel this year, with his 14 interceptions ranking seventh in the NFL. As a team, Atlanta has committed the fifth-most turnovers in the NFC, so the problem extends beyond Ryan.

This bodes well for the Niners, as their defense ranks eighth in the NFL in takeaways. One of the primary explanations for this is San Francisco’s secondary, which has stepped up all season.

LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 27:  #84 Cecil Shorts III of the Jacksonville Jaguars is tackled by #35 Eric Reid of the San Francisco 49ers during the NFL International Series game between San Francisco 49ers and Jacksonville Jaguars at Wembley Stadium on Octo
Charlie Crowhurst/Getty Images

Rookie free safety Eric Reid (64 tackles, 10 pass deflections, four interceptions) has been particularly impressive, showing the poise of a veteran. Cornerback Tramaine Brock has picked off four passes this year as well, a total that ranks seventh in the NFL.

The Niners’ success at forcing turnovers, combined with Ryan’s penchant for committing them, both point toward another dominant performance from San Francisco’s secondary, and the defense as a whole.


Run the Ball Down Atlanta’s Throat

The 49ers have proved that their offensive strength lies in their run game, and that should prove to be an advantage come Monday.

The Falcons are 29th in the NFL in stopping the run, surrendering 131.4 rushing yards per game. Frank Gore has been heating up (196 yards in Weeks 14 and 15), but the 49ers can use this matchup to allow him to really hit the ground running heading into Week 17’s tough matchup against the Cardinals’ top-ranked run defense.

Even with his recent success, Gore has undeniably struggled in the season’s second half. His 110 rushing yards against Seattle constituted his first 100-yard game since Oct. 13 against the Cardinals. In addition, his performance against Tampa Bay, while consisting of a nice rushing total (86 yards), proved to be Gore’s fourth game under four yards per carry in his past five games.

TAMPA, FL -  DECEMBER 15:  Running back Frank Gore #21 of the San Francisco 49ers rushes upfield against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers December 15, 2013 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images

In short, Gore needs to pick it up a bit.

The 49ers will need him in the playoffs, and there is no better way to maximize his chances of playoff success than to finish the regular season with some momentum. The 49ers should take advantage of the Falcons’ defensive struggles against the run by giving Gore plenty of chances to do what he does best.


Take Advantage of the Falcons Secondary

While the Niners should use Frank Gore to a great extent, Colin Kaepernick must also be sure that he exploits the Falcons' lackluster secondary when he gets his opportunities.

Like Gore, but to a larger extent, Kaepernick has had quite a few performances that leave something to be desired this year. Also like Gore, the Niners need Kap to go into the playoffs fresh off a couple of solid performances.

The Falcons secondary's main weakness is the rookie safety, Zeke Motta, who lacks instinct and played very poorly last week, according to Dave Choate of SB NationThe Falcons do expect safety Thomas DeCoud to return from a concussion on Monday, but it's anyone's guess as to how he will play in his first game back.

Asante Samuel is also always a threat as a cornerback, but he has started only 10 games this year, recording one interception. He is far from the player he used to be.

TAMPA, FL - DECEMBER 15:  Vernon Davis #85 of the San Francisco 49ers reaches for a pass in front of Mark Barron #23 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during a game at Raymond James Stadium on December 15, 2013 in Tampa, Florida.  (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty I
Stacy Revere/Getty Images

Rookie cornerback Desmond Trufant has played exceptionally well, but he will be left with the tough task of covering Michael Crabtree. Even if he is able to shut down the 49ers' top wide receiver, Anquan Boldin and Vernon Davis should have no trouble exploiting the rest of the Falcons defense.

Don't forget, Monday's game is also the final game to be played at Candlestick. If that isn't motivation to win, I don't know what is.


All statistics courtesy of ESPN.


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