Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Green Bay Packers: Betting Odds Analysis and Prediction

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistDecember 18, 2013

ARLINGTON, TX - FEBRUARY 06:  James Farrior #51 of the Pittsburgh Steelers rushes in on Daryn Colledge #73 of the Green Bay Packers during Super Bowl XLV at Cowboys Stadium on February 6, 2011 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)
Doug Pensinger/Getty Images

The Green Bay Packers are in on a 6-1 against-the-spread run when playing AFC North teams, while the Pittsburgh Steelers are mired in a 2-7 ATS slide against NFC North teams since 1996.

But those trends are meaningless without a point spread, and oddsmakers have been cautious with posting one so far in Week 16.


Point spread: This game remained off the board mid-week as oddsmakers monitored the injury status of Packer pivot Aaron Rodgers. (Watch for line updates and matchup report)


Odds Shark computer prediction: 22.0-21.9 Packers (based on Matt Flynn at quarterback)


Why the Steelers can cover the spread

Pittsburgh looked like its old self last week against the Cincinnati Bengals in a 30-20 win. The Steelers are still trying to avoid their first losing season in a decade, and it starts with their offensive leader, Ben Roethlisberger.

Last week against a pretty good Bengals D, he completed his first 13 passes en route to a 20-completion, 191-yard performance. He also threw a touchdown and set a new franchise record for completions in a season (340).


Why the Packers can cover the spread

If you haven't seen the fourth quarter of last week's game against the Dallas Cowboys, just watch a replay and you'll have your answer. Apparently Aaron Rodgers isn't the only one with some magic in his arm, as backup Matt Flynn threw four touchdown passes in the second half to help the Packers overcome a 23-point deficit.

The victory kept the Packers' dim playoff hopes alive, which is motivation enough for any team that has gone through what they have.

The home team usually wins when these great franchises meet, according to the Odds Shark database. Green Bay also seems to have a knack for cashing in against AFC North teams (6-1 ATS past seven tries).


Smart Pick

The home team is on a 6-1 SU run when these two get together, and the Packers should be able to carry over momentum from their win in Big D to handle a Steelers team that is far from consistent.

The Steelers may be coming in off a stunning win over AFC North-leading Cincinnati, but they've also lost three of their last four on the road. Green Bay is the right side in this game.



  • Home team is 6-1 SU past seven meetings of these teams
  • Packers are 6-1 ATS past seven vs AFC North teams
  • Steelers 2-7 ATS vs NFC North teams since 1996


Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Sharkfollow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.