But those trends are meaningless without a point spread, and oddsmakers have been cautious with posting one so far in Week 16.
Odds Shark computer prediction: 22.0-21.9 Packers (based on Matt Flynn at quarterback)
Why the Steelers can cover the spread
Pittsburgh looked like its old self last week against the Cincinnati Bengals in a 30-20 win. The Steelers are still trying to avoid their first losing season in a decade, and it starts with their offensive leader, Ben Roethlisberger.
Last week against a pretty good Bengals D, he completed his first 13 passes en route to a 20-completion, 191-yard performance. He also threw a touchdown and set a new franchise record for completions in a season (340).
Why the Packers can cover the spread
If you haven't seen the fourth quarter of last week's game against the Dallas Cowboys, just watch a replay and you'll have your answer. Apparently Aaron Rodgers isn't the only one with some magic in his arm, as backup Matt Flynn threw four touchdown passes in the second half to help the Packers overcome a 23-point deficit.
The victory kept the Packers' dim playoff hopes alive, which is motivation enough for any team that has gone through what they have.
The home team usually wins when these great franchises meet, according to the Odds Shark database. Green Bay also seems to have a knack for cashing in against AFC North teams (6-1 ATS past seven tries).
The home team is on a 6-1 SU run when these two get together, and the Packers should be able to carry over momentum from their win in Big D to handle a Steelers team that is far from consistent.
The Steelers may be coming in off a stunning win over AFC North-leading Cincinnati, but they've also lost three of their last four on the road. Green Bay is the right side in this game.
- Home team is 6-1 SU past seven meetings of these teams
- Packers are 6-1 ATS past seven vs AFC North teams
- Steelers 2-7 ATS vs NFC North teams since 1996