New York Giants vs. Detroit Lions: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

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New York Giants vs. Detroit Lions: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
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While the New York Giants are 5-1 at Detroit since 1982, they're also stuck in a 2-9 straight-up rut on the highway. The Detroit Lions welcome the Giants to Ford Field on Sunday afternoon, and they have huge motivation to win big here.

The growing point spread suggests that bettors feel the same way.

 

Point spread: Giants opened as 8.5-point underdogs, but it was bet up over 10 at some sportsbooks by Wednesday; the total was 48.5 in early wagering. (Line updates and matchup report)

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 23.7-14.9 Lions

 

Why the Giants can cover the spread

After losing their first four road games of the season, the Giants have won two of their last three on the highway. They come in after being shut out by the Seattle Seahawks, who have the league's No. 1 defense, and now catch a bit of a break against a mediocre stop unit that will be coming in off a short week.

In being limited to 181 total yards by Seattle's stingy defense and being shut out for the second time this season, the good news is it can't get any worse.

 

Why the Lions can cover the spread

When the Chicago Bears rallied to beat the Cleveland Browns last week, Detroit knew it was in for a tough late-season playoff run. There are no guarantees in the NFC, with the wild cards almost assuredly headed to Carolina and San Francisco, so the Lions have no choice but to win out if they want to extend their season.

They've won two of three against NFC East opponents this season and five of nine against NFC teams.

They catch a Giants team with little to play for that has also been stumbling on the road, losing nine of 11.

 

Smart Pick

It's a real crap-shoot in trying to decipher what will happen with this game, so the UNDER looks like a smart play. The Giants' only real shot at winning this game is with the league's 10th-best defense, which has allowed an average of 18.5 points the last eight games, after giving up 34.8 the first six contests.

And since the Giants struggle on offense and because Eli Manning arrives in Motown after throwing a career-high five interceptions, the Lions' D can dominate as well.

 

Trends

  • Giants are 5-1 SU at Detroit since 1982
  • Giants are 2-9 SU past 11 road games overall
  • OVER is 8-3 past 11 Lions home games

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Sharkfollow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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