Denver Broncos logoDenver Broncos

Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans: Betting Odds Analysis and Prediction

DENVER, CO - DECEMBER 8:  The Denver Broncos offense huddles around Peyton Manning #18 at Sports Authority Field Field at Mile High on December 8, 2013 in Denver, Colorado.  (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images)
Dustin Bradford/Getty Images
OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistDecember 17, 2013

The OVER has cashed in 12 of the last 14 times the Houston Texans have been installed as home underdogs, and they'll be up against a high-powered offense on Sunday this week as they take on Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos.

The Texans don't cover at home, but the Broncos don't cover as double-digit favorites either, forcing trends handicappers to study this one closely.

Point spread: Broncos opened as 9.5-point favorites but had climbed to 12 by Tuesday; the total was 51.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

Odds Shark computer prediction: 36.1-17.3 Broncos

 

Why the Broncos can cover the spread

Once invincible, Denver has split its last four games and will be looking to bounce back after losing its home finale to the San Diego Chargers on national TV. And with the loss, the Broncos allowed the Kansas City Chiefs to pull into a first-place tie in the AFC West.

Though Denver owns the tiebreaker, it cannot afford to let teams like Houston stick around and will be looking to deliver the knockout punch early on in this game.

 

Why the Texans can cover the spread

This is the last chance to sell those season tickets for next season, as Houston must close its home slate with a game against the Broncos. If the Texans can challenge early and stick around, they just may frustrate the Broncos long enough and stay within the number.

The last time the Texans played at home, they put a scare into the New England Patriots, losing a close one, 34-31, but covering the 7-point spread. This spread could end up being two touchdowns by kickoff Sunday.

 

Smart Pick

Forget either side in this game, as there's no telling if the Broncos have become complacent in playing down to their opponents and lost the killer instinct they boasted during the first half of the season.

To go along with the aforementioned stat on the OVER, the OVER is 6-1 when the Texans play at home this season, and it's a given what the Broncos will be trying to do. The OVER is the smart play in this game.

 

Trends:

  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of Denver's last 15 games
  • Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last seven home games
  • Broncos 2-8 ATS as double-digit road favorite since 1980
  • OVER is 12-2 past 14 Houston games as home underdogs

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Sharkfollow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

Where can I comment?

Stay on your game

Latest news, insights, and forecasts on your teams across leagues.

Choose Teams
Get it on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Real-time news for your teams right on your mobile device.

Download
Copyright © 2017 Bleacher Report, Inc. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved. BleacherReport.com is part of Bleacher Report – Turner Sports Network, part of the Turner Sports and Entertainment Network. Certain photos copyright © 2017 Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Getty Images is strictly prohibited. AdChoices