Prediction: Autism Speaks 400 at Dover, Winners and Losers

David ScercyCorrespondent IMay 31, 2009

The Monster Mile endures a long reputation for ruining a good day when you least expect it.

How many times as a fan have you watched your favorite driver cruising around in good shape at Dover, only to see him walking into the back of an ambulance two minutes later?

Races at Dover have a history of revealing the unexpected.

I believe the 2009 Autism Speaks 400 Sunday will be no exception. We're going to see hard crashes, one or two long green flag runs, then a couple more hard crashes right before a wild ending is set-up. At least that's my opinion.

So who do I think will be the victor at Dover? Good things come to those who wait. First I will reveal other predictions before revealing who I think wins this race.

PREDICTION No. 1: The leader at half-way, as well as the laps led leader, will not win this race. I expect Kyle Busch, Greg Biffle, and Ryan Newman to run up front early. Probably all three leading a good bit of the early laps, but none winning the race.

PREDICTION No. 2: Dale Earnhardt Jr. will run in the 20s most of the day. Probably finishing between 15-24. I expect to see him receive a "lucky dog" some time during the race.

DARK-HORSES: Since dark-horses are defined as "drivers who may contend for a win that normally don't," can I really use David Reutimann right now? I don't think so.

Here are my three dark-horses to watch: 1. Brian Vickers...this team is going to win a race real soon. 2. Sam Hornish of the most improved teams in the garage area. 3. A.J. Allmendinger...this kid is pretty racey. Although I expect good things from this group, none will win at Dover.

KYLE RUNS WELL BUT WILL HIT THE WALL: It's not easy racing in the Sprint Cup Series with your foot in your mouth, and this week Kyle Busch will be doing just that. He is due for a good wreck.

THE CONTENDERS: These guys will run well all day and get a good finish....but not win!!!! Matt Kenseth, Denny Hamlin, and Kevin Harvick.

THE PRETENDERS: Teams that will basically just run around the track all day. Elliott Sadler, Casey Mears, Jamie McMurray.

HARD CHARGERS: These guys will race well through the field...but not win. Jeff Gordon, Tony Stewart, Carl Edwards, and Mark Martin.

CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR: I am predicting that Kurt Busch will finish second at Dover. Has this team come a long way the last two seasons?

AND THE WINNER OF THE AUTISM SPEAKS 400 WILL BE: Jimmie Johnson will be around the front all day long and will pull away at the end to get back on track!!!!