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NFL Lines Week 16: Guaranteed Locks to Cover the Spread

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NFL Lines Week 16: Guaranteed Locks to Cover the Spread
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With just two weekends remaining for bettors to gamble during the regular season, there is no shortage of spreads that can be taken advantage of in Week 16.

After a week where upsets ran rampant in the NFL including surprising wins by the Dolphins, Steelers and Chargers over three of the top teams in their respective divisions, more upsets could be on the horizon.

Before the weekend officially begins, here are the lines for each game, and three teams that will cover the spread in Week 16.

Complete Week 16 NFL Picks
Away Team Home Team Spread Pick ATS
Miami Dolphins Buffalo Bills MIA -3 Dolphins
New Orleans Saints Carolina Panthers CAR -2.5 Panthers
Dallas Cowboys Washington Redskins DAL -3.5 Cowboys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers St. Louis Rams STL -4.5 Rams
Chicago Bears Philadelphia Eagles PHI -4 Eagles
Cleveland Browns N.Y. Jets NYJ -1 Browns
Indianapolis Colts Kansas City Chiefs KC -6.5 Colts
Minnesota Vikings Cincinnati Bengals CIN -8 Vikings
Denver Broncos Houston Texans DEN -9.5 Broncos
Tennessee Titans Jacksonville Jaguars TEN -4 Jaguars
Arizona Cardinals Seattle Seahawks SEA -9.5 Seahawks
N.Y. Giants Detroit Lions DET -9.5 Lions
Oakland Raiders San Diego Chargers SD -9.5 Raiders
Pittsburgh Steelers Green Bay Packers PK Packers
New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens BAL -1.5 Patriots
Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers SF -10 Falcons

Spreads provided by Vegas Insider

David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

 

Cleveland Browns (+1 at New York Jets)

The odds makers made it pretty clear that the Jets are barely a favorite in this game. But regardless of how large the line is, the Browns have proven over the last few weeks that they are capable of winning against the Jets.

These are the facts: The Browns have lost five straight and only came within one point in those losses in just one game against the Patriots. But against a pass defense that ranks 26th, Jason Campbell should have a bounce-back game and get Cleveland back on track.

With offensive weapons like Jordan Cameron and Josh Gordon in the passing game, Cleveland has the firepower to take out New York. After not being able to finish against two potential playoff teams in the Patriots and Bears, the Browns will finally get off the schneid to defeat the Jets.

Prediction: Browns 24, Jets 20

Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+4 vs. Tennessee Titans)

The Jaguars weren't able to come away with a win against the Buffalo Bills in Week 15. One thing the team did prove is that they have a two-headed rushing attack with Maurice Jones-Drew and Jordan Todman.

After missing the Bills game, it appears Jones-Drew is improving, according to Jessica Blaylock of CW 17 in Jacksonville:

Against a porous rushing defense that ranks 23rd in the league and has allowed 119.1 rushing yards per game this season, a healthy MJD and Todman could be the keys for a huge day for the Jaguars offense.

While Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown for six touchdowns in the last three weeks, he has countered that with six interceptions—including one that cost the Titans the game against the Cardinals in Week 15. During that same stretch, Chad Henne has thrown for six touchdowns and just three interceptions to help Jacksonville to a 2-1 record.

Though the Jaguars don't have much of a home-field advantage in Jacksonville, their running game combined with another multiple-touchdown game from Henne will be enough to not only cover the spread but defeat the Titans for their fifth win of the season.

Prediction: Jaguars 31, Titans 24

Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

 

Indianapolis Colts (+6 at Kansas City Chiefs)

The Colts have gone 3-3 over their past six games and have formed a pattern: losing after every win since Week 9. And after winning against the Houston Texans in Week 15, logic says that Indianapolis will drop the following game against the Chiefs.

But with their biggest strength being Andrew Luck and the passing game, the Colts have a chance to win against any opponent. Facing a 20th-ranked pass defense that's allowing over 250 yards per game, Luck could very well be the biggest difference maker in this game.

While the last stat in this tweet from ESPN could be the most important one, the fact that both Luck and Trent Richardson put together big games is a sign for the Colts moving forward:

If Indy can put together another balanced performance against the Chiefs, it might be able to pull out the win. But facing Jamaal Charles with a weak rushing defense means that the Colts will likely lose in a close one.

Prediction: Chiefs 30, Colts 27

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