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NFL Lines Week 16: Guaranteed Locks to Cover the Spread

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - DECEMBER 15:  Andrew Luck #12 of the Indianapolis Colts throws a pass during the NFL game against the Houston Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium on December 15, 2013 in Indianapolis, Indiana.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images
R. Cory SmithSenior Writer IDecember 23, 2016

With just two weekends remaining for bettors to gamble during the regular season, there is no shortage of spreads that can be taken advantage of in Week 16.

After a week where upsets ran rampant in the NFL including surprising wins by the Dolphins, Steelers and Chargers over three of the top teams in their respective divisions, more upsets could be on the horizon.

Before the weekend officially begins, here are the lines for each game, and three teams that will cover the spread in Week 16.

Complete Week 16 NFL Picks
Away TeamHome TeamSpreadPick ATS
Miami DolphinsBuffalo BillsMIA -3Dolphins
New Orleans SaintsCarolina PanthersCAR -2.5Panthers
Dallas CowboysWashington RedskinsDAL -3.5Cowboys
Tampa Bay BuccaneersSt. Louis RamsSTL -4.5Rams
Chicago BearsPhiladelphia EaglesPHI -4Eagles
Cleveland BrownsN.Y. JetsNYJ -1Browns
Indianapolis ColtsKansas City ChiefsKC -6.5Colts
Minnesota VikingsCincinnati BengalsCIN -8Vikings
Denver BroncosHouston TexansDEN -9.5Broncos
Tennessee TitansJacksonville JaguarsTEN -4Jaguars
Arizona CardinalsSeattle SeahawksSEA -9.5Seahawks
N.Y. GiantsDetroit LionsDET -9.5Lions
Oakland RaidersSan Diego ChargersSD -9.5Raiders
Pittsburgh SteelersGreen Bay PackersPKPackers
New England PatriotsBaltimore RavensBAL -1.5Patriots
Atlanta FalconsSan Francisco 49ersSF -10Falcons
Spreads provided by Vegas Insider

Dec 8, 2013; Foxborough, MA, USA; Cleveland Browns wide receiver Josh Gordon (12) warms up before the start of the game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports
David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

 

Cleveland Browns (+1 at New York Jets)

The odds makers made it pretty clear that the Jets are barely a favorite in this game. But regardless of how large the line is, the Browns have proven over the last few weeks that they are capable of winning against the Jets.

These are the facts: The Browns have lost five straight and only came within one point in those losses in just one game against the Patriots. But against a pass defense that ranks 26th, Jason Campbell should have a bounce-back game and get Cleveland back on track.

With offensive weapons like Jordan Cameron and Josh Gordon in the passing game, Cleveland has the firepower to take out New York. After not being able to finish against two potential playoff teams in the Patriots and Bears, the Browns will finally get off the schneid to defeat the Jets.

Prediction: Browns 24, Jets 20

Dec 5, 2013; Jacksonville, FL, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars running back Jordan Todman (30) celebrates after catching a 21-yard touchdown pass thrown by wide receiver Ace Sanders (not pictured) in the third quarter against the Houston Texans at EverBank Fiel
Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+4 vs. Tennessee Titans)

The Jaguars weren't able to come away with a win against the Buffalo Bills in Week 15. One thing the team did prove is that they have a two-headed rushing attack with Maurice Jones-Drew and Jordan Todman.

After missing the Bills game, it appears Jones-Drew is improving, according to Jessica Blaylock of CW 17 in Jacksonville:

Against a porous rushing defense that ranks 23rd in the league and has allowed 119.1 rushing yards per game this season, a healthy MJD and Todman could be the keys for a huge day for the Jaguars offense.

While Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown for six touchdowns in the last three weeks, he has countered that with six interceptions—including one that cost the Titans the game against the Cardinals in Week 15. During that same stretch, Chad Henne has thrown for six touchdowns and just three interceptions to help Jacksonville to a 2-1 record.

Though the Jaguars don't have much of a home-field advantage in Jacksonville, their running game combined with another multiple-touchdown game from Henne will be enough to not only cover the spread but defeat the Titans for their fifth win of the season.

Prediction: Jaguars 31, Titans 24

Dec 8, 2013; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck (12) runs the ball down field during the second half of the game at Paul Brown Stadium. Cincinnati Bengals beat Indianapolis Colts 42-28 Mandatory Credit: Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY S
Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

 

Indianapolis Colts (+6 at Kansas City Chiefs)

The Colts have gone 3-3 over their past six games and have formed a pattern: losing after every win since Week 9. And after winning against the Houston Texans in Week 15, logic says that Indianapolis will drop the following game against the Chiefs.

But with their biggest strength being Andrew Luck and the passing game, the Colts have a chance to win against any opponent. Facing a 20th-ranked pass defense that's allowing over 250 yards per game, Luck could very well be the biggest difference maker in this game.

While the last stat in this tweet from ESPN could be the most important one, the fact that both Luck and Trent Richardson put together big games is a sign for the Colts moving forward:

If Indy can put together another balanced performance against the Chiefs, it might be able to pull out the win. But facing Jamaal Charles with a weak rushing defense means that the Colts will likely lose in a close one.

Prediction: Chiefs 30, Colts 27

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