Alex Smith exploded for five touchdowns against the Oakland Raiders in Week 15, making fantasy owners laugh maniacally or cry hysterically depending on the circumstances. While a repeat of the scoring bonanza shouldn’t be expected in Week 16, Smith will be a low-level QB1 with an excellent ceiling.
Smith finished with 287 passing yards and a perfect 158.3 passer rating (five TDs will do that). While the yardage isn't spectacular, there are a number of reasons why you should have faith in the oft-maligned quarterback to pull through for your fantasy team.
That bodes well for Smith, who has been a fairly solid fantasy play with nine games of over 15 fantasy points this year.
In addition, the Colts have given up the most rushing yardage to quarterbacks, allowing close to 30 yards on the ground to scrambling signal-callers. That will definitely be a factor for Smith, who has accumulated close to 400 rushing yards on the season.
He probably won’t throw five touchdowns again, but the Chiefs offense is rolling at the moment (averaging 42 points in its last four games), and Smith will be a decent fantasy option in Week 16. If your starting quarterback has a bad matchup, you should take a long, hard look at Smith as a possible replacement.