Navy has beaten Army 11 straight times, but they covered the spread just four times during that run of domination. They lay 12.5 points in the annual clash that gets the full attention of college football bettors Saturday ahead of bowl season.
Point Spread: Navy opened as 10-point chalk, but that number had been bet up to -12.5 by Friday afternoon. The total was 51.5. (Line updates and Army vs. Navy matchup report.)
Odds Shark computer prediction: 34-23 Navy
Why Army can cover the spread
They scored a ton in their last game and played Navy tough a year ago in a 17-13 loss, and they stayed within two touchdowns of Stanford early in the season. Getting nearly two touchdowns here in the Philly cold (and the forecast calls for lousy weather) is a lot.
Why Navy can cover the spread
They have the superior roster and have been beating up on Army for more than a decade (11-0 straight up). In the past 10 games, the average score is 31-10. They are 5-1 against the spread in their past six games overall.
If both teams score at the same pace they did in their previous games, the smart money could be on the OVER 51.5. Army scored 42 points against Hawaii, but they forgot to play defense and gave up 49. Navy, meanwhile, dropped 58 on San Jose State, while also forgetting about defense by allowing 52 points.
However, the past seven Army-Navy games have all played UNDER the total, according to the Odds Shark college football searchable database.
- Navy is 5-1 ATS past six games overall
- Past seven meetings played UNDER the total
- Army 0-11 SU past 11 seasons vs Middies