NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 15: Best Games to Bet Big

Alex KayCorrespondent IDecember 12, 2013

Dec 8, 2013; Green Bay, WI, USA; Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan (2) looks to throw a pass during the second quarter against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Week 15 of the 2013 NFL season is beginning shortly, with the Denver Broncos taking on the San Diego Chargers on Thursday Night Football.

This AFC West battle will be the first opportunity for gamblers to increase their bankroll ahead of Sunday’s slate of contests. However, even if you back the wrong side in this one, there will be plenty of other opportunities to get your money in with the winning team.

Let’s take a look at the latest line for Thursday night’s matchup and the rest of the week’s action, plus my predictions on the winner of each against the spread. Then continue reading for a guide on the best games to bet big in Week 15.

Week 15 Spreads and Predictions
Away TeamHome TeamPick (Spread)
San Diego ChargersDenver BroncosBroncos (-10)
Washington RedskinsAtlanta FalconsFalcons (-6)
San Francisco 49ersTampa Bay Buccaneers49ers (-5)
Arizona CardinalsTennessee TitansCardinals (-2.5)
New Orleans SaintsSt. Louis RamsRams (+5.5)
Seattle SeahawksNew York GiantsSeahawks (-7)
Chicago BearsCleveland BrownsN/A
Houston TexansIndianapolis ColtsColts (-6)
Buffalo BillsJacksonville JaguarsJaguars (+2)
New England PatriotsMiami DolphinsPatriots (-2.5)
Philadelphia EaglesMinnesota VikingsEagles (-4.5)
New York JetsCarolina PanthersPanthers (-11)
Kansas City ChiefsOakland RaidersChiefs (-3.5)
Green Bay PackersDallas CowboysN/A
Cincinnati BengalsPittsburgh SteelersBengals (-3)
Baltimore RavensDetroit LionsRavens (+6)


Jacksonville Jaguars (+2) over Buffalo Bills

This is the stone-cold lock of the week. The Jags are simply getting too many points in a game they should be giving some away in.

It seems that the gambling world hasn’t been paying attention for the last month or so, as Jacksonville is currently riding high on a three-game winning streak and has emerged victorious in four of its last five matchups.

That’s extremely impressive, regardless of the quality of opponents. On the other hand, Buffalo is going downward and may have reached rock-bottom last Sunday.

Dec 5, 2013; Jacksonville, FL, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars linebacker Geno Hayes (55), who made a key interception late in the game against the Houston Texans, leaves the field at EverBank Field. The Jacksonville Jaguars best the Houston Texans 27-20. Manda
Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports

The Bills turned the ball over five times and rookie quarterback EJ Manuel took seven sacks against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that hasn’t been all that impressive in 2013.

Factor in that they will be playing on the road, have lost two straight since their Week 12 bye and faltered in five of their last six games and there is simply no way that the Bills are winning this one.

Take the points or, better yet, hammer the money line in favor of the Jags. They are the superior squad—one of the hottest in all of football—and are guaranteed to win in Week 15.


Atlanta Falcons (-6.5) over Washington Redskins

GREEN BAY, WI - DECEMBER 08:  Drew Davis #19 of the Atlanta Falcons is congratulated by teammates (L-R) Peter Konz #66, Roddy White #84 and Joe Hawley #61 after scoring a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on December 8, 2013 in Gree
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

At the start of the season, who would have expected this matchup to be between two of the NFL’s absolute worst teams?

Regardless, we have arrived at this point and one of these franchises has to leave the Georgia Dome with the fourth win of 2013.

Go with the Falcons here, as they are still competing hard and have the desire to win. They may not be the most talented group right now, but the players haven’t quit on their coach and there isn’t controversy and infighting to blame—just a rash of injury and poor free-agency decisions.

On the other hand, the ‘Skins have benched their starting quarterback for the remainder of the campaign and it seems that head coach Mike Shanahan already has his bags packed and a foot halfway out the door.

It’s a tumultuous, ugly situation that is spilling over to the on-field play, as evidenced by Washington’s 45-10 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last week.

While backup quarterback Kirk Cousins is more than capable of carrying this team, it just seems that the roster isn’t in any position to succeed nor does this group even have the desire to.

Back the chalk playing at home and watch as the Redskins finish their complete and utter meltdown against the Falcons. Expect the Dirty Birds to win this by at least two touchdowns and potentially end Shanahan’s tenure in Washington in the process.