NFL Week 15 Picks: Teams That Will Come out on Top of Offensive Shootouts

Tim Keeney@@t_keenContributor IDecember 11, 2013

DENVER, CO - DECEMBER 8:  Quarterback Peyton Manning #18 of the Denver Broncos throws a pass during the third quarter against the Tennessee Titans at Sports Authority Field Field at Mile High on December 8, 2013 in Denver, Colorado. The Broncos defeated the Titans 51-28.  (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)
Justin Edmonds/Getty Images

Alright, NFL, what can you do for an encore?

With guys like Jason Campbell and Josh McCown leading the charge, and snow flurries seemingly blanketing every other game, Week 14 produced the most points and touchdowns in league history, per FOX Sports' NFL Twitter feed:

Thank you, Monte Kiffin. Thank you, Ravens and Vikings. Thank you, Peyton Manning.

The upcoming slate of games may not generate numbers of that stature again, but it's clear that the league is evolving and offenses are clicking.

Judging by the schedule, points will once again be abundant in Week 15. As such, along with my complete picks, we'll take a look at some teams that will win offensive shootouts. 

Week 15 NFL Picks
San Diego ChargersDenver BroncosBroncos
San Francisco 49ersTampa Bay Buccaneers49ers
Washington RedskinsAtlanta FalconsRedskins
Chicago BearsCleveland BrownsBrowns
Houston TexansIndianapolis ColtsColts
New England PatriotsMiami DolphinsPatriots
Philadelphia EaglesMinnesota VikingsEagles
Seattle SeahawksNew York GiantsSeahawks
Buffalo BillsJacksonville JaguarsJaguars
Kansas City ChiefsOakland RaidersChiefs
New York JetsCarolina PanthersPanthers
Green Bay PackersDallas CowboysCowboys
Arizona CardinalsTennessee TitansCardinals
New Orleans SaintsSt. Louis RamsSaints
Cincinnati BengalsPittsburgh SteelersBengals
Baltimore RavensDetroit LionsLions


Denver Broncos (vs. San Diego Chargers)

Thursday Night Football, which tends to be sloppy and injury-plagued, has given us such gems as "Jets 10, Patriots 13" and "Saints 17, Falcons 13," so it's hard to say with complete confidence that the offenses will be clicking. 

But according to Football Outsiders' offensive efficiency rankings, the Broncos and Chargers feature the two best offenses in the NFL.

The regular stats don't exactly oppose that stance either, as Denver and San Diego come in first and third in yards per play, per

Furthermore, you shouldn't expect much resistance. The Chargers are last in the NFL in yards per play allowed—and are even worse on the road—while the Broncos aren't that far ahead, tied for the 12th most allowed.

The Chargers have the firepower to keep up with Denver, and Wes Welker is out for the Broncos, but it would be silly to bet against Manning and his arsenal of weapons in what will turn into a battle of offenses. 


Philadelphia Eagles (at Minnesota Vikings)

It hasn't really been the City of Brotherly Love for the hometown Eagles. Check our their home/away splits on the season:

Philadelphia Eagles 2013 Home/Away Splits
RecordPoints Per GameYards Per GameYards Per Play

Of course, the team has caught fire lately. Nick Foles is playing unbelievably, the always-dangerous LeSean McCoy somehow gets better in the snow and Chip Kelly's team has won five in a row—three of which have come in Philly. 

Still, on the road against a Vikings defense that is giving up more than 30 points per contest and was just part of a game that featured five touchdowns over the last 125 seconds, the Eagles are going to run rampant. 

Whether or not the Vikings can turn it into a shootout depends largely on the health of Adrian Peterson, but according to ESPN's Ben Goessling, Purple Jesus is "vowing" to play:

The Eagles have played better defense as of late, and will come away with the win, but there will be plenty of points on both sides of the ball in this one. 


Washington Redskins (at Atlanta Falcons)

LANDOVER, MD - DECEMBER 08: Quarterback Kirk Cousins #12 of the Washington Redskins throws a pass against the Kansas City Chiefs during the second half of the Chiefs 45-10 win at FedExField on December 8, 2013 in Landover, Maryland.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Ge
Rob Carr/Getty Images

It's hard to trust either of these teams right now, but one thing is certain: Their defenses stink. 

Per Football Outsiders' efficiency rankings, the Redskins are 26th in the NFL in defense, while Atlanta sits at 31st. Moreover, they both rank near the bottom of the league in points allowed per game (31st and 29th), yards allowed per game (22nd and 26th) and yards allowed per play (28th and 30th). 

No matter how inconsistent these offenses have been, they will still be able to light up the scoreboard. 

And for the winner, I'm going with the upset (Atlanta is favored by seven points, per Covers). As's Jeff Darlington reported, Kirk Cousins is set to get the start under center for Washington:

Neither team has much motivation to win right now, but Cousins has a terrific opportunity to prove himself. Combine that with Washington's far superior run game, and the Redskins will have the offensive balance to win this contest. 


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