NFL Week 15 Picks: Stone-Cold Locks Against the Spread

Alex KayCorrespondent IDecember 11, 2013

JACKSONVILLE, FL - DECEMBER 05:  Will Rackley #65 of the Jacksonville Jaguars celebrates following a victory over the Houston Texans at EverBank Field on December 5, 2013 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

Week 15 of the 2013 NFL season is just around the corner. You will want to use this opportunity to get in your bets on the upcoming action before the public piles in on Sunday.

Whether you are looking to make a small wager among your pals or plop down a massive bet at the sportsbook, you will want to know the latest spreads and have some information handy to make an informed decision.

Keep reading to find out the updated lines for every game, my predictions for the winner of each and a handful of stone-cold locks you will certainly want to back on Sunday.

Week 15 NFL Lines and Predictions
Away TeamHome TeamPick (Spread)
San Diego ChargersDenver BroncosBroncos (-10)
Washington RedskinsAtlanta FalconsRedskins (+6.5)
San Francisco 49ersTampa Bay Buccaneers49ers (-5)
Arizona CardinalsTennessee TitansCardinals (-2.5)
New Orleans SaintsSt. Louis RamsRams (+5.5)
Seattle SeahawksNew York GiantsSeahawks (-7)
Chicago BearsCleveland BrownsN/A
Houston TexansIndianapolis ColtsColts (-6)
Buffalo BillsJacksonville JaguarsJaguars (+2)
New England PatriotsMiami DolphinsPatriots (-2.5)
Philadelphia EaglesMinnesota VikingsEagles (-4.5)
New York JetsCarolina PanthersPanthers (-11)
Kansas City ChiefsOakland RaidersChiefs (-3.5)
Green Bay PackersDallas CowboysN/A
Cincinnati BengalsPittsburgh SteelersBengals (-3)
Baltimore RavensDetroit LionsRavens (+6)
ScoresAndOdds.com

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+2) over Buffalo Bills

JACKSONVILLE, FL - DECEMBER 05:   Geno Hayes #55 of the Jacksonville Jaguars asks the crowd for noise during the game against the Houston Texans at EverBank Field on December 5, 2013 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

The Jaguars can’t seem to get any respect.

Even after winning three straight games and four of their last five, the bookmakers have once again installed them as the underdog for this Week 15 showdown with the Bills.

Furthermore, they are getting spotted points at home against a collapsing team. All signs point to this being the lock of the week—much as Jacksonville was in Week 14 when it was in a similar situation against the Houston Texans.

The Jags clearly handled their business as a home ‘dog last Thursday evening and should have no problem doing that again come Sunday afternoon.

It’s hard to picture the Bills even keeping this one competitive on the road. They have lost two straight coming out of their Week 12 bye and faltered in five of their last six contests.

Their only win since Week 7 has come at home against the lowly New York Jets. Buffalo was utterly destroyed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense last week, committing five turnovers and giving up seven sacks in Raymond James Stadium.

TAMPA, FL - DECEMBER 8: EJ Manuel #3 of the Buffalo Bills is sacked by William Gholston #92 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on December 8 2013 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Scott Cunningham/Getty Images)
Scott Cunningham/Getty Images

The Bucs aren’t exactly a Super Bowl contender, but they are a quality team that has been winning games as of late. Sound familiar? It’s because the Jags are almost a mirror image.

You would be foolish to back Buffalo on the road after seeing how the team performed in Week 14. This is simply not a good football club and it cannot be trusted, especially giving points away from Ralph Wilson Stadium.

Take the home ‘dog and get paid come Sunday. The general public is still stuck in the mindset that the Jags are the worst football team ever and seem clueless that has changed drastically in recent weeks. You can cash in on the ignorance by backing Jacksonville.

 

Indianapolis Colts (-6) over Houston Texans

Dec 8, 2013; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck (12) looks to pass during the fourth quarter against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports
Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports

Speaking of pitiful teams, the Texans are clearly the worst in the entire NFL. The fact that they are getting less than a touchdown in Indianapolis should be an instant-wager for most wise bettors.

Houston is currently in the midst of an 11-game losing streak and recently fired former head coach Gary Kubiak. While the Texans were somewhat competitive in recent games—having not lost by more than seven points since Week 6—they’ve officially waved the white flag with that move.

Interim coach Wade Phillips isn’t going to get this group to play hard, and the long offseason is just around the corner for the miserable players. They just have a few more beatings to take before the merciful end to the 2013 campaign is here.

Dec 1, 2013; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Texans defensive coordinator Wade Phillips on the sidelines against the New England Patriots at Reliant Stadium. The Patriots beat the Texans 34-31. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports
Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Indianapolis has every motivation to deliver one, especially after being embarrassed by the Cincinnati Bengals this past Sunday. The Colts haven’t won two games in a row since Week 7 and 9—they had a bye in Week 8—and have to find some consistency before the upcoming postseason.

They have a perfect opportunity to right the ship and get their offense clicking and defense dug in ahead of a marquee battle with the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 16.

It would be downright surprising if it took another miraculous comeback for the Colts to win this one, although they needed one to navigate past Houston back in Week 9.

Instead, expect Indianapolis to dominate out of the gate and look to control the game. The club is starting to get a decent amount of production out of both Donald Brown and Trent Richardson—who combined for 117 total yards last week—and it may look to lean heavy on those two backs against the Texans.

Houston is very beatable on the ground—giving up 118.5 yards per game to opposing rushers—while stout against the pass. Don’t be surprised if the Colts take advantage of this and win big against a mediocre opponent.