The St. Louis Rams have covered three straight at home against the New Orleans Saints, who have failed to cover seven of their last nine road games. St. Louis has gone OVER the posted total in six of its last seven at home.
Point spread: Saints opened as 4.5-point favorites; the total was 46 (Line updates and matchup report).
Odds Shark computer prediction: 28.2-19.7 Saints
Why the Saints can cover the spread
New Orleans' high-octane offense is always a reason it can cover a point spread. Quarterback Drew Brees knows how to dissect secondaries with the best of them, and the St. Louis pass defense can be vulnerable against the right pass attacks.
Brees has become a master at utilizing so many weapons and will be able to spread his offense on this turf.
Why the Rams can cover the spread
St. Louis is no slouch on offense, and has proved it can score points in the right spot. The Rams put up 38 in Houston; they scored another 38 at Indianapolis and then posted 42 versus Chicago. When challenged in a shootout, St. Louis is capable of scoring. Because this one is on its own field, the Rams have a real shot at keeping it close.
They have covered three straight at home against the Saints and the line has climbed a point and will probably go higher before kickoff.
New Orleans is playing for home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, and though it'll be hard to derail Seattle, especially with the Seahawks owning the tiebreak, the Saints are the type of team that plays with a never-give-up attitude.
They also play for keeps and don’t let mediocre teams hang around. New Orleans should win and cover by double digits.
- Rams 3-0 ATS past three at home to the Saints
- Saints are 2-7 ATS past nine road games
- Rams have played OVER is six of past seven home games