The home team in this NFC showdown has won 13 of the last 14 meetings of these teams, which is an important handicapping stat in the absence of an early point spread.
The Green Bay Packers have failed to cover six of their last eight road games, while Dallas is on a 7-2 straight-up run at home.
Odds Shark computer prediction: 25.6-22.9 Cowboys
Why the Packers can cover the spread
Dallas has the worst defense in the league and can make any team's offense look good.
Therefore, even though the Packers have started more quarterbacks this season than they have over the past couple of decades, they will be able to move the ball against the NFL's worst stop unit.
The Cowboys defense has been cobbled together with free agents and third-stringers.
Why the Cowboys can cover the spread
Dallas put itself in a must-win position after getting manhandled by the Bears on Monday night. If the Cowboys want to make the playoffs—and if Jason Garrett wants to try to salvage a job that appears to be slipping away—they need to win the rest of the way.
Even that is not guaranteed, but facing the fledgling Packers is a good spot to start.
Dallas was out of sync on the road last week in Chi-town, which was evident. This week, it shouldn't be the case against an injury-ravaged Packers team that has been missing key components up and down the roster all season.
The Cowboys' offense will be back in a groove on its own field for this game, balanced between quarterback Tony Romo and running back DeMarco Murray.
- Green Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last five games at Dallas
- Home team is 13-1 SU past 14 meetings of these teams
- Packers are 2-6 ATS past eight road games
- Cowboys 7-2 SU past nine home games