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Running back Ka'Deem Carey
Carey Must Rush for Over 150 Yards
Arizona running back Ka'Deem Carey had an excellent season. In fact, he was so good that he eclipsed the 100-yard mark in every single game he started. But when he has the kind of game you want to watch over and over again, that's when the Wildcats often come away with an easy victory. In the team's five losses, Carey rushed for over 150 yards only once, which was in a blowout loss to Arizona State.
But Carey topped the 200-yard mark against Oregon in a 42-16 win, and he reached 232 yards in a victory over Utah. There's little chance of Boston College being able to slow him down with any sort of consistency, but there's a difference between what Carey looks like on an average day and what he looks like when he completely takes over.
If he hits the 150-yard mark, he'll likely have taken over the game and led his team to an impressive bowl victory.
Defense Must Allow 30 Points or Fewer
At times, Arizona was a much more dominant team than its 7-5 record would have you believe. Only one victory came by fewer than 10 points, and as we mentioned, this is a team that beat the Oregon Ducks by 26. In short, the offense knows how to score points, and when it does, the team usually wins.
But the key number here is 30—as in, the defense needs to hold Boston College to less than 30 points. A 24-17 loss to Washington State was the only time all season that the Wildcats lost when holding an opponent to under 30 points. Meanwhile, the team has scored at least 33 in every single victory.
B.J. Denker Must Limit Turnovers
If quarterback B.J. Denker takes care of the football, the Wildcats are a pretty safe bet to win the football game. On the season, he threw seven interceptions, and six of them came in losses. Consider too that the team's loss to Washington State was the only defeat in which Denker didn't throw a pick.
Most teams can get away with a turnover or two during a game and still have a chance to win, but the play of Denker is absolutely critical in an offense that needs a few passes here and there to keep the defense honest. Arizona is at its best when Denker can pull back on an option play and throw the ball, and if he's connecting on those passes, the defense is often put on its heels, as we saw in the game against Oregon.