BCS Rankings 2013: Teams Sure to Plummet in Rankings After Championship Saturday

Chris Roling@@Chris_RolingFeatured ColumnistDecember 7, 2013

LOS ANGELES, CA - NOVEMBER 16:  Running back Tyler Gaffney #25 of the Stanford Cardinal carries the ball against the USC Trojans at Los Angeles Coliseum on November 16, 2013 in Los Angeles, California.  (Photo by Jeff Gross/Getty Images)
Jeff Gross/Getty Images

Championship Saturday is here, which can only mean one thing—several teams are sure to have hearts broken as BCS rankings are dashed after failing to win a conference championship.

Talk about a double whammy.

It is bad enough to lose a conference title game. It is another thing entirely to take a dive in the BCS rankings and potentially miss out on a BCS bowl game—or in some cases, a national championship berth.

Alas, Saturday's action will not have a storybook ending for all. Everyone involved, including the fans, know this going into the day. That does not make it any easier to handle.

TeamBCS Average
1Florida State.9948
2Ohio State.9503
6Oklahoma State.7629
8South Carolina.7037
10Michigan State.6529
11Arizona State.5833
14Northern Illinois.4812
23Fresno State.1006
24Texas A&M.0995


No. 20 Duke Blue Devils

Oct 26, 2013; Blacksburg, VA, USA; Duke Blue Devils quarterback Anthony Boone (7) throws a pass against the Virginia Tech Hokies at Lane Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports
Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports

Perhaps the fans most understanding of their team's fate Saturday are those who root for Duke, otherwise known as a school that specializes in dribbling the ball.

The football edition of the Blue Devils have done much to buck that notion this year and ride an eight-game winning streak and a 10-2 record into their matchup with No. 1 Florida State. It is the school's first winning season since going 8-4 in 1994.

There are a few problems with this matchup. For one, Florida State averages 53.7 points. Not only is Duke's highest output this year just 48, the defense allows 23 on average—a number that will be highly inflated when Jameis Winston (3,490 yards and 35 touchdowns) gets a shot at the unit.

College GameDay's Twitter account has a chilling stat for this ACC matchup:

The Blue Devils have turned the program around this season and can build on this for the future, but picked a bad time to do so with Florida State looking like the national title favorite.


No. 7 Stanford Cardinal

Nov 23, 2013; Stanford, CA, USA; Stanford Cardinal quarterback Kevin Hogan (8) drops back for a pass during the second quarter in a game against the California Golden Bears at Stanford Stadium. Stanford won 63-13. Mandatory Credit: Bob Stanton-USA TODAY S
Bob Stanton-USA TODAY Sports

At first glance, the No. 7 Stanford Cardinal appear to have an advantage in the Pac-12 Championship against the No. 11 Arizona State Sun Devils. After all, the Cardinal won the Pac-12 this year over the Sun Devils, 42-28.

This time the conference rivals do their dance in Tempe, Ariz., where the Sun Devils are 7-0 on the season. This does not bode well for the Cardinal, a team with two losses on the year—both away from home.

The Sun Devils have had time to change their approach. Arizona State now understands that the key to beating Stanford is running back Tyler Gaffney, who rushed 18 times for 87 yards and two scores when these two last met.

Stanford is not changing its offensive approach. Neither is an Arizona State offense that has scored more than 50 points six times this season.

The Sun Devils will even the series this year, which means a significant drop is in store for the Cardinal.


No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes

Nov 23, 2013; Columbus, OH, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes running back Carlos Hyde (34) runs the ball in pre game warmups before the game against the Indiana Hoosiers at Ohio Stadium. Ohio State Buckeyes beat Indiana Hoosiers 42-14. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ru
Trevor Ruszkowksi-USA TODAY Spor

Ohio State may have won 24 straight, but as College GameDay and ESPN point out, not everything may be what it seems:

Regardless of the streak's credibility, one thing is certain—the Buckeyes have not encountered a defense as formidable as the unit No. 10 Michigan State fields.

The Spartans rank No. 4 in the nation, allowing an average of just 11.8 points. Ohio State faithful can point to the No. 3 scoring offense that averages 48.2 points, but one has to wonder if the number is inflated by a weak schedule.

Two teams have scored more than 20 points on the Spartans this year. Six have failed to reach 10 points.

Something has to give in Indianapolis, and it won't be the Michigan State defense. The Buckeyes are coming off an emotional win in which 7-5 Michigan almost pulled off the upset, 42-41.

This has the makings of a game that causes the Buckeyes to slip up with everything on the line.



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