Duke Football logoDuke Football

ACC Championship Game 2013: Keys for Duke to Put Florida State on Upset Alert

Can standout wide receiver Jamison Crowder and Duke be competitve against Florida State?
Can standout wide receiver Jamison Crowder and Duke be competitve against Florida State?Gregory Shamus/Getty Images
Matt FitzgeraldCorrespondent IIIDecember 6, 2013

The BCS No. 20 Duke Blue Devils have had a magnificent turnaround in 2013 but will be heavy underdogs in Saturday's ACC Championship game against the top-ranked Florida State Seminoles.

While it does help that the contest takes place in Charlotte's Bank of America Stadium, it's likely that Duke fans may still be outnumbered despite their school's far closer proximity to the venue.

Bovada currently lists the Seminoles as 29-point favorites, so the Blue Devils aren't even being given a remote chance of pulling off a shocking upset.

But Duke quarterback Anthony Boone remains confident, as he and his team have been underdogs all year in pulling off a 10-2 record:

There are a few keys that Duke can execute to at least make the outcome more competitive than oddsmakers are anticipating.

Note: Team statistics are courtesy of NCAA.com. Individual player statistics were obtained from CFBStats.com.

 

Shorten the Game by Establishing Run Early

DURHAM, NC - SEPTEMBER 21:  Brandon Connette #18 of the Duke Blue Devils during their game at Wallace Wade Stadium on September 21, 2013 in Durham, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

Time of possession will be key, especially if Florida State starts out strong. Keeping the ball out of Heisman Trophy-contending quarterback Jameis Winston will be of paramount importance.

For Boone to have any room for big plays, he will rely heavily on wide receiver Jamison Crowder (88 receptions, 1131 yards and seven touchdowns) and any rushing attack the Blue Devils can muster.

One luxury Duke has enjoyed this season is a deep backfield, led by Jela Duncan, Josh Snead and Shaquille Powell.

The X-factor will be the Blue Devils' own Blake Bell-esque battering ram in quarterback Brandon Connette, who had four touchdowns when Duke beat Miami (FL) earlier this year:

Connette has been counted on in short-yardage and goal-to-go situations to punch it in, and although his yards per carry is just 3.4, Connette has accumulated 13 rushing TDs.

A heavier, early dose of the 225-pound Connette—Duke's biggest prominent ball carrier—may be necessary to set the tone and give the Blue Devils invaluable balance.

 

Limit the Damage on 3rd Down

WINSTON SALEM, NC - NOVEMBER 23:  Jeremy Cash #16 of the Duke Blue Devils tells the fans to get loud during play agianst the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at BB&T Field on November 23, 2013 in Winston Salem, North Carolina. Duke won 28-21.  (Photo by Grant Ha
Grant Halverson/Getty Images

Despite not sporting a top-50 total defense, the Blue Devils are actually decent at limiting the opposition on third down, yielding a conversion rate of 35.9 percent.

The problem is that the Seminoles convert third downs at 55.2 percent, adding to the devastation they can cause on any given play with their myriad of offensive weapons.

Throwing as many exotic pressures at Winston as possible will help, but the big impact player who will need to step up is All-ACC safety Jeremy Cash.

Anish Shroff of ESPN notes that the coaching staff hasn't had a player like him, and it's showing with his results on the field:

The Ohio State transfer has been nothing short of sensational on the back end of Duke's defense. Cash has 109 tackles (including 7.5 for loss) this season and leads the team with four interceptions.

That type of versatility should allow the Blue Devils to confuse Winston, as Cash can flex in and out of the box and cause indecision at the line of scrimmage.

Cash will be an instrumental part of defending the run and ensuring Duke doesn't get beat deep on the back end. It will be up to the rest of his teammates to step up, make plays in space and attack the ball when it's in the air.

 

Special Teams Must Be Special

Nov 30, 2013; Chapel Hill, NC, USA;  Duke Blue Devils cornerback DeVon Edwards (27) runs in the first quarter at Kenan Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

The least appreciated phase of the game will be crucial if Duke is meant to have an edge to keep this game close.

Freshman cornerback DeVon Edwards averages 32.71 yards per kickoff return on 17 attempts and has taken two to the house this season, while Crowder has returned two punts to pay dirt in his own right.

Edwards' running room may be a little more limited, considering FSU has allowed under 19 yards on 63 kickoffs this season. To give some indication of his ability with the ball in his hands, he returned a kick 100 yards for a touchdown and had two pick-sixes in a 38-20 win over NC State on Nov. 9.

Any production Crowder can hope to have on special teams is dependent on the Duke defense getting the Seminoles' balanced, explosive attack off the field on third down.

Even if some potential big returns don't find the end zone, it could still shift the balance of field position if the Blue Devils are able to stay on their assignments and spring one of these playmakers for a big gain.

Should there be little to no special teams impact, though, Duke will have a tough time finding ways to hang with the best team in the country.

 

Where can I comment?

Stay on your game

Latest news, insights, and forecasts on your teams across leagues.

Choose Teams
Get it on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Real-time news for your teams right on your mobile device.

Download
Copyright © 2017 Bleacher Report, Inc. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved. BleacherReport.com is part of Bleacher Report – Turner Sports Network, part of the Turner Sports and Entertainment Network. Certain photos copyright © 2017 Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Getty Images is strictly prohibited. AdChoices