The AFC's top two teams are both double-digit favorites at home in Week 14, but only one is a lock to cover the spread.
With only four weeks remaining in the regular season, the Denver Broncos and New England Patriots are playing for much more than a playoff berth. The two offensive juggernauts are in prime position to wrap up first-round byes and, for one, home-field advantage on the way to Super Bowl XLVIII.
As a result, both are mighty favorites on Sunday afternoon.
Below, we'll take a look at the latest Week 14 odds and highlight three home teams guaranteed to cover this weekend.
|Houston Texans (-3.5)||Jacksonville Jaguars|
|Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)||Washington Redskins|
|Minnesota Vikings||Baltimore Ravens (-6)|
|Oakland Raiders||New York Jets (-3)|
|Indianapolis Colts||Cincinnati Bengals (-5)|
|Cleveland Browns||New England Patriots (-10.5)|
|Detroit Lions||Philadelphia Eagles (-3)|
|Miami Dolphins||Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)|
|Buffalo Bills||Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2)|
|Atlanta Falcons||Green Bay Packers (Even)|
|Tennessee Titans||Denver Broncos (-11.5)|
|St. Louis Rams||Arizona Cardinals (-6)|
|New York Giants||San Diego Chargers (-3)|
|Seattle Seahawks||San Francisco 49ers (-2.5)|
|Carolina Panthers||New Orleans Saints (-4)|
|Dallas Cowboys||Chicago Bears (-1.5)|
Lines according to VegasInsider.com
Baltimore Ravens (-6) Over Minnesota Vikings
The defending Super Bowl champion Ravens are a lock to win this weekend when they host the Minnesota Vikings in Baltimore.
Baltimore has won five of six at home this season and has been turning in dominant defensive performances inside M&T Bank Stadium all season long, allowing just 12.7 points per game there in 2013.
That's bad news for the Vikings offense, which will likely be without quarterback Christian Ponder.
Meanwhile, Minnesota has yet to win on the road this season, posting a mark of 0-5-1 through its first six away games. On top of that, there's a ton at stake for the Ravens in this game. Baltimore is currently in the sixth and final playoff spot in the AFC and in need of another victory to remain there.
New England Patriots (-10.5) Over Cleveland Browns
The New England Patriots will return to their favorite building in Week 14 to take on the lowly Browns in a game with tremendous blowout potential.
New England is a flawless 6-0 at Gillette Stadium in 2013. On the other hand, Cleveland is just 1-4 on the road this season and in the midst of a three-game losing streak. Even worse, the Browns have dropped six of their last seven to fall completely out of the AFC playoff picture.
Keep in mind that the Pats trailed the Broncos by 24 points at halftime of their last home game only to rally down the stretch and win in overtime. The lesson: The Patriots are tough to beat in Foxborough.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2) Over Buffalo Bills
Tampa Bay had its three-game winning streak snapped in Carolina in Week 13, but that was the streaking Panthers. Watch for the Bucs to start a new streak at home this weekend against the reeling Buffalo Bills.
Which of these teams is the biggest lock to cover the spread in Week 14?
Greg Schiano's squad has won two in a row in Tampa while Buffalo has won on the road just once in five tries this season.
The Bills offense has struggled on the road of late, scoring just 10 points at Pittsburgh in Week 10 and 17 in New Orleans in Week 8. That won't cut it on the road against a confident Bucs offense that's averaging more than 31 points per game over its last two home games.
Defensively, the Bucs have been doing an excellent job of forcing turnovers and generating extra possessions for Mike Glennon and the offense.
Expect that formula to pay off for Tampa this weekend as they easily cover the spread inside Raymond James Stadium.
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