The Dallas Cowboys are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight MNF appearances. Da Bears host the Cowboys on Monday night in a game that settled in at even odds as of Wednesday.
Point spread: Bears opened as one-point favorites, but the line was bet to even; the total was 49.5. (Line updates and matchup report)
Odds Shark computer prediction: 26.8-24.1 Cowboys
Why the Cowboys can cover the spread
With consecutive wins over the Giants and Raiders, Dallas leads the NFC East by a tiebreaker over Philly. By the numbers, the Cowboys still don't impress. They rank 24th in total offense, 27th in rushing and dead last in total defense.
But unlike in past years, Dallas has won a few games it usually seems to lose, rallying to beat the Vikings while holding off New York and Oakland. Might the Cowboys actually be playing with some confidence?
Lastly, they can cover because the Bears cannot. They are a disaster this season and 1-9-1 ATS in 11 recent home games.
Why the Bears can cover the spread
Chicago has been playing without quarterback Jay Cutler, but backup Josh McCown has performed well in relief. The Bears just need a little more help from the defense, which just gave up 246 yards on the ground against the Vikings.
Chicago should have beaten Minnesota last Sunday, but usually rock-solid reliable kicker Robbie Gould missed a near chip shot in overtime. The Bears have lost six games this season, but with a little luck they could have won four of those contests.
Odds Shark's computer is calling for Dallas to win outright in a game that sneaks OVER its total. The Cowboys have won a couple close games lately, while Chicago has lost some close ones recently.
Maybe it's time those two trends diverge. Go against the computer and back the Bears.
Monday Night Football Trends:
- Chicago is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games
- The UNDER is 5-1 in past six meetings between these teams in Chicago
- Bears are 1-9-1 ATS in past 11 home games
- Chicago is 8-3-1 ATS in past 12 MNF games
- Dallas 1-7 ATS in past eight MNF
- Dallas OVER 6-1 on road MNF since 2000