New York Giants vs. San Diego Chargers: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

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New York Giants vs. San Diego Chargers: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
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San Diego has failed to cover six of its last nine at home and is mired in a 1-5 spread slide when laying points at home. The New York Giants are on a 13-3 under-run on the road.

Both teams have a chance at the playoffs, and neither can afford another loss, so motivation won’t be a problem on either side for handicappers who focus on "must-win" angles.

 

Point spread

The Chargers opened as 3.0-point favorites; the total was 45 (line updates and matchup report, via Odds Shark).

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 21.2-16.4 Chargers

 

Why the Giants can cover the spread

The momentum in the NFC East is very hard to gauge, but with just four games left for these teams and the division title in everyone's grasp, the Giants need to win out. They're two games behind the Cowboys and the Eagles (and a long shot on NFC East betting odds after opening the season as favorites), but they've now won four of five after last week's win in Washington D.C.

 

Why the Chargers can cover the spread

Can you imagine what could have been if Eli Manning would have ended up on the Chargers roster way back when? He declined to play for the Bolts, and they ended up with Philip Rivers. Of the two, this year, Rivers has been better.

This is a pride-filled game for Rivers, who has completed 70 percent of his passes, thrown 23 touchdowns and a mere nine interceptions.

 

Smart Pick

The smart play is on San Diego, as the Giants could get caught looking past this one and on to next week's home game against Seattle. The Chargers aren't out of it yet, and having lost four of five, this is a good time to earn a home win—a week before having to play at Denver.

This is the first time San Diego has been favored at home this season. It has to be for a reason, right?

 

Trends:

  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New York's last 16 road games.
  • San Diego is 3-6 ATS in its last nine games at home.
  • The Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their past six games as home favorites.

 

All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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