Minnesota Vikings vs. Baltimore Ravens: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

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Minnesota Vikings vs. Baltimore Ravens: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
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The Vikings arrive in M&T Bank Stadium on a 1-6-1 against-the-spread skid against Baltimore. That couples perfectly with the Ravens' 30-2 straight-up home mark as favorites.

The total, meanwhile, has stayed under in seven of Baltimore's last eight home games.

 

Point spread: Ravens opened as 6-point favorites; the total was 43. (Line updates and matchup report)

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 23.0-16.0 Ravens

 

Why the Vikings can cover the spread

Minnesota may have one of the league's worst records at 3-8-1, but the Vikings have played respectable football since the end of October. They're 2-3-1 in six games since Oct. 27 while they've covered four of those games.

In those games, they've averaged 26 points vs. Green Bay, at Dallas, vs. Washington, at Seattle, at Green Bay and vs. Chicago. Minny may challenge for the outright win.

 

Why the Ravens can cover the spread

Last week's win over division-rival Pittsburgh breathed new life into the Ravens, who are two games behind AFC North-leading Cincinnati and one game in front of the Steelers. Baltimore has done some of its best work at home, sporting a 5-1 mark compared to its 1-5 road mark.

They are 6-1-1 ATS in eight games against the Vikings and dominate at home when favored (30-2 SU run).

 

Smart Pick

Believe it or not the smart play here is the road underdog. For Minnesota, every game is a big game, so there is no looking past these Ravens. But for Baltimore, this is one heck of a sandwich game following Pittsburgh and preceding NFC North-leading Detroit.

The Ravens then finish the season at home vs. New England and at Cincinnati. It's easy to see the Ravens overlooking the Vikes.

 

Trends:

  • Vikings are 1-6-1 ATS in their past eight games vs Baltimore.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of Baltimore's last eight games at home.
  • Ravens are 30-2 SU in their past 32 home games as favorites.

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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