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Fantasy Premier League 2013: Projecting Optimal Lineup for Week 14

CARDIFF, WALES - NOVEMBER 30:  Mathieu Flamini of Arsenal (L) celebrates with Olivier Giroud as he scores their second goal during the Barclays Premier League match between Cardiff City and Arsenal at Cardiff City Stadium on November 30, 2013 in Cardiff, Wales.  (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)
Mike Hewitt/Getty Images
Richard LangfordCorrespondent IDecember 4, 2013

It's time to pour over the matchups and trends for Week 14 of the Premier League and come up with the optimal lineup. 

I found this week to be largely matchup-based. The schedule presents us with some solid value plays with big potential this week. As any good fantasy owner knows, there isn't a better foundation for success than getting good production out of cheap players. 

Players' values and points via fantasy.premierleague.com

 

G: Petr Cech, 6.2

LONDON, ENGLAND - NOVEMBER 06:  Goalkeeper Petr Cech of Chelsea celebrates his team's 3-0 victory during the UEFA Champions League Group E match between Chelsea and FC Schalke 04 at Stamford Bridge on November 6, 2013 in London, England.  (Photo by Clive
Clive Rose/Getty Images

Chelsea have allowed 11 goals on the season—only Arsenal and Southampton have allowed fewer. Put Petr Cech in with a solid back line, and good things will happen. 

With Cech and the Blues taking on a Sunderland attack that is tied at the bottom with eight goals on the year, grab the goalie with the week's best shot at a clean sheet. 

 

D: John Terry, 6.5; Seamus Coleman, 5.7; Dejan Lovren, 5.8; Jose Fonte, 5.4

LONDON, ENGLAND - DECEMBER 01:  John Terry of Chelsea signals during the Barclays Premier League match between Chelsea and Southampton at Stamford Bridge on December 1, 2013 in London, England.  (Photo by Ian Walton/Getty Images)
Ian Walton/Getty Images

In their last two matches, Southampton have allowed five goals to raise their season total to 10. Obviously, there is reason to be alarmed by the bad trend, but I'm still going to ride the value plays of Dejan Lovren and Jose Fonte. Southampton's last two matches have come against Arsenal and Chelsea. Defense will be a little easier this week against Aston Villa. 

Speaking of that Chelsea-Southampton match, John Terry picked up 11 points to continue his strong season. That will continue against Sunderland this week. 

Everton defender Seamus Coleman is coming off of a 13-point effort. He certainly isn't a reliable goalscorer, but facing Manchester United's suspect defense, he is a solid start. 

 

M: Aaron Ramsey, 7.5; Yaya Toure, 9.6; Robbie Brady, 5.2; Peter Whittingham, 5.1

CARDIFF, WALES - NOVEMBER 30:  Aaron Ramsey of Arsenal and Steven Caulker of Cardiff City watch the ball during the Barclays Premier League match between Cardiff City and Arsenal at Cardiff City Stadium on November 30, 2013 in Cardiff, Wales.  (Photo by M
Mike Hewitt/Getty Images

As part of the Arsenal machine, Aaron Ramsey is flourishing. He is coming off of a 15-point effort against Cardiff City on the road, and this week, he has a favorable home matchup against Hull City. 

Manchester City are on the road this week, and they always seem to score more at home. Yaya Toure, however, remains a good play against a West Brom side that have allowed 16 goals on the year.

Robbie Brady has been a nice value play this year, and with a bit of a splurge on my first two midfielders, I'll take the risk of him playing at Arsenal with his bargain price. Rounding out the starters is Peter Whittingham. He has eight combined points in his last two matches, and that was against Manchester United and Arsenal. This week, he takes on 16th-place Stoke City. 

 

F: Olivier Giroud, 9.2; Sergio Aguero, 12.3

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - DECEMBER 01:  Sergio Aguero of Manchester City in action during the Barclays Premier League match between Manchester City and Swansea City at the Etihad Stadium on December 1, 2013 in Manchester, England.  (Photo by Clive Brunskill/G
Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

I like to go big on forwards, and this week is no exception. These two guys should speak for themselves. As was the case with Toure, there is the concern that Sergio Aguero is on the road, but he has been a man on a mission this year. 

Arsenal's Olivier Giroud has had a wonderful year and has a solid home matchup against a Hull City side that has allowed 16 goals. 

 

Bench: Tim Howard, 5.6, G; Michael Dawson, 5.4, D; Leandro Bacuna, 4.8, M; Frazier Campbell, 5.4, F

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND - NOVEMBER 03:  Tim Howard of Everton during the Barclays Premier League match between Everton and Tottenham Hotspur at Goodison Park on November 3, 2013 in Liverpool, England.  (Photo by Tony Marshall/Getty Images)
Tony Marshall/Getty Images

After that lineup, there isn't a lot left for the bench. Tim Howard has been a strong value play all year, however; he will be tested this week against Manchester United. 

Michael Dawson is a good value with Tottenham taking on the 11 goals scored of Fulham. Aston Villa midfielder Leandro Bacuna is a bargain-basement play, but he does have five combined points in his last two matches. 

We wind it all up with Cardiff City forward Frazier Campbell taking on lowly Stoke and providing nice bang for his 5.4 price. 

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