Oklahoma Sooners vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: Betting Odds Analysis, Prediction

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistDecember 3, 2013

NORMAN, OK - NOVEMBER 24:   Quarterback Clint Chelf #10 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys tries to outrun defensive back Demontre Hurst #6 of the Oklahoma Sooners November 24, 2012 at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Oklahoma. Oklahoma defeated Oklahoma State 51-48 in overtime. (Photo by Brett Deering/Getty Images)
Brett Deering/Getty Images

Oklahoma is hoping history repeats itself in the Bedlam rivalry, as the Sooners have won nine of the last 10 meetings.

Oklahoma State, on the other hand, is out to erase the painful memory of last year's tough-to-swallow 51-48 overtime loss in Norman, where the Pokes squandered double-digit leads in both halves.


Point spread: Oklahoma State opened as 9.5-point favorites; the total was 58 early in the week (line updates and matchup report).


Odds Shark computer prediction: 37-26 Oklahoma State


Why Oklahoma can cover the spread

If the Cowboys decide to make this an up-tempo contest, Oklahoma is capable of playing at a faster pace and just might be able to match their in-state rivals drive for drive. But it's not the vertical game that would keep the Sooners in it; it's the team's 15th-ranked rushing game. Ball control and time management would be Oklahoma's best friends in this game.

Recent history says the Sooners can handle their in-state rivals.


Why Oklahoma State can cover the spread

Oklahoma State has been streaking of late, having won seven in a row while covering six straight. The Pokes will have a wealth of confidence for this game, which follows a bye week, which came after a 49-17 annihilation of previously unbeaten Baylor. Quarterback Clint Chelf finally displayed a sense of on-field leadership in a near-flawless performance against the Bears.

The Cowboys have covered the spread in six straight conference games and five straight when they are laying points.


Smart Pick

It's a rather big number for a rivalry game like this, but the fact that Oklahoma hasn't been able to get consistency at the quarterback position and the way Chelf has progressed for the Cowboys makes this game extremely tough for the Sooners.

Balance, with a steady defense as well, makes Okie State the right side of this game. A lot of recent trends suggest the computer is bang on here.


Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma State is 10-1 against the spread in its last 11 games at home.
  • Sooners are 9-1 straight up past 10 vs. Cowboys.
  • Cowboys have covered five straight games as favorites.
  • Cowboys have covered six straight conference games.


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