BCS Bowl Predictions 2013: Projecting Top Matchups and Likely Outcomes

Chris Roling@@Chris_RolingFeatured ColumnistDecember 2, 2013

ANN ARBOR, MI - NOVEMBER 30: Quarterback Braxton Miller #5 of the Ohio State Buckeyes looks to pass in the second quarter against the Michigan Wolverines during a game at Michigan Stadium on November 30, 2013 in Ann Arbor, Michigan.  (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

Auburn's miracle win over Alabama has caused nothing but chaos throughout the BCS in its final year before fans receive a much-needed playoff.

The playoff may be coming a year too late.

A few different teams deserve a shot at the national title but will have to simply make do in other bowl games. There is a silver lining and all that jazz—plenty of quality potential bowl games that may come to fruition should have fans raising their collective eyebrows.

But how will some of the most exciting potential bowl games turn out? Let's take a look.


BCS Title Game: Florida State vs. Ohio State

Nov 30, 2013; Gainesville, FL, USA; Florida State Seminoles quarterback Jameis Winston (5) runs out onto the field before he works out prior to the game against the Florida Gators at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The pleads to throw Auburn in the title game can stop.

The Tigers have had a miracle season and are the flavor of the month after a jaw-dropping finish against the Crimson Tide, but let's stop pretending they (or any other team) have a shot against 12-0 Florida State.

Conference arguments aside, the 12-0 Buckeyes have won 24 straight games. Now, Ohio State may go all Kansas City and stink it up to Florida State's Denver, but the fact remains—the Buckeyes have earned the title shot, and the polls agree.

Let's keep rolling with the NFL references for a moment. If there is a Peyton Manning in college football, his name is Jameis Winston. The freshman signal-caller has thrown for 3,490 yards this season with 35 touchdowns to eight interceptions.

With all due respect to the Buckeyes defense, which surrenders an average of 20.3 points per game, the unit does not stand a chance.

The Buckeyes just gave up 41 points to an unranked Michigan squad that averages 33.8 points. Florida State averages 53.7.

Prediction: Seminoles 45, Buckeyes 24


Orange Bowl: Clemson vs. Alabama

Nov 30, 2013; Columbia, SC, USA; Clemson Tigers quarterback Tajh Boyd (10) rushes with the ball against the South Carolina Gamecocks in the second quarter at Williams-Brice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Blake-USA TODAY Sports
Jeff Blake-USA TODAY Sports

Tajh Boyd's senior campaign before he takes off to the NFL is over, but once again the Clemson Tigers quarterback failed to lead his team to victory in The Palmetto Bowl against South Carolina.

The Tigers lost that game 31-17 as Boyd threw for 225 yards and two interceptions. Still, it was quite the farewell campaign for Boyd overall. He threw for 3,473 yards and 29 touchdowns to nine interceptions while completing a stellar 67.6 percent of his passes.

If things shake out the right way, Boyd will be responsible for leading the Tigers over the Crimson Tide in the Orange Bowl.

11-1 Alabama does not need an introduction. It is also not worth rehashing the now-infamous kick return that knocked the team out of the title game.

The man in charge is former Heisman contender and senior quarterback AJ McCarron. He threw for 2,676 yards, 26 touchdowns to five interceptions and strangely also completed 67.6 percent of his passes.

While the Tigers are accustomed to scoring an average of 40.2 points per game, that simply will not happen against the Crimson Tide. Alabama's defense allows just 11.3 points on average. Remember, this is the same Tigers team that lost 51-14 to Florida State in mid-October.

On a neutral field, this one is not even close. Will it be entertaining for fans not wearing orange? Of course.

Prediction: Crimson Tide 42, Tigers 14


Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Northern Illinois

Nov 26, 2013; DeKalb, IL, USA; Northern Illinois Huskies quarterback Jordan Lynch (6) rushes the ball against the Western Michigan Broncos during the first quarter at Huskie Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports
Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

Northern Illinois is the darling underdog fans want to root for, but they may not need the help.

The 12-0 Huskies are led by legitimate Heisman contender Jordan Lynch, who has thrown for 2,457 yards and rushed for another 1,755 on his way to 42 total touchdowns.

Lynch has accomplished his numbers primarily against the MAC conference, but there is something to be said for his alarming consistency.

Consistency has been the name of the game for the 10-1 Cowboys, a team that ranks in the top 12 in both scoring offense and defense. Oklahoma State puts up an average of 41.2 points per game and surrenders just 18.8.

It has not mattered who is under center, either. Sophomore quarterback J.W. Walsh has thrown for 1,333 yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Senior Clint Chelf has tallied 1,592, 14 and five.

The problem here for the Cowboys is simple. This is the same team that managed to lose to West Virginia (ranks No. 82 or worse in scoring offense and defense) in late September.

Meanwhile, Lynch has been able to run through or throw over any and all opposition based on the defense he encounters. There is no reason to believe that changes here. Lynch is arguably the best player in the nation this year, and that will be on full display in his team's bowl.

Prediction: Huskies 45, Cowboys 42


Updated BCS Standings
Ranking Team AVG Previous Ranking
1 Florida State .9948 2
2 Ohio State .9503 3
3 Auburn .9233 4
4 Alabama .8539 1
5 Missouri .8428 5
6 Oklahoma State .7629 7
7 Stanford .7069 8
8 South Carolina .7037 10
9 Baylor .6623 9
10 Michigan State .6529 11
11 Arizona State .5833 12
12 Oregon .5321 13
13 Clemson .5201 6
14 Northern Illinois .4812 14
15 LSU .4213 17
16 Central Florida .3858 19
17 Oklahoma .3808 18
18 UCLA .3506 22
19 Louisville .2630 20
20 Duke .2252 24
21 Wisconsin .1988 15
22 Georgia .1143 NR
23 Fresno State .1006 16
24 Texas A&M .0995 21
25 Texas .0666 NR


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