Projected BCS Standings 2013: Updated Outlook Heading into Week 15

Steven CookFeatured Columnist IVDecember 1, 2013

GAINESVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 30:  Jameis Winston #5 of the Florida State Seminoles attempts a pass during the game against the Florida Gators on November 30, 2013 in Gainesville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

An absolutely crazy, wildly unpredictable and bizarre November in college football just wouldn't be complete without Alabama losing on one of the most unfathomable endings of all time.

There's no doubt—Auburn's last-second heroics in Jordan-Hare Stadium on Saturday afternoon shook the foundation of the BCS standings. But that wasn't the only big result that impacted things at the top. 

With a couple of key matchups remaining in the final weekend before selection time, let's break down where B/R's BCS guru Samuel Chi has each team in the projected top 25.

Projected BCS Standings—Week 15
RankTeamRecordConferencePvs
1Florida State12-0ACC2
2Ohio State12-0Big Ten3
3Auburn11-1SEC4
4Alabama11-1SEC1
5Missouri11-1SEC5
6Oklahoma State10-1Big 127
7Stanford10-2Pac-128
8Baylor10-1Big 129
9South Carolina10-2SEC10
10Michigan State11-1Big Ten11
11Arizona State10-2Pac-1212
12Oregon10-2Pac-1213
13Clemson10-2ACC6
14Northern Illinois12-0MAC14
15LSU9-3SEC17
16Central Florida10-1American19
17Oklahoma9-2Big 1218
18UCLA9-3Pac-1222
19Louisville10-1American20
20Duke10-2ACC24
21Wisconsin9-3Big Ten15
22Fresno State10-1MWC16
23Cincinnati9-2AmericanNR
24Georgia8-4SECNR
25Texas8-3Big 12NR
BCS Guru Samuel Chi

 

Upcoming Games with Implications

SEC Championship: Auburn vs. Missouri

AUBURN, AL - NOVEMBER 30:  Nick Marshall #14 of the Auburn Tigers looks to pass against the Alabama Crimson Tide in the first half at Jordan-Hare Stadium on November 30, 2013 in Auburn, Alabama.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Raise your hand if you had Auburn and Missouri—two teams that combined for eight wins last season—going to Atlanta.

(Tumbleweed.)

Alas, Gus Malzahn's high-octane offense bred in high school ball and transitioned into the premier conference in college sports took down the closest thing this side of the millennium has seen to a dynasty. Nick Marshall and Tre Mason looked as dangerous as they ever have, albeit against the SEC's best defense. 

Meanwhile, Missouri completed its own one-loss season by dominating the SEC East and weathering the storm of losing starting quarterback James Franklin for a big stretch of the season. 

It may be an unprecedented matchup for the SEC title, but it's not without ramifications. Each team has a conceivable shot at a BCS national title should a domino or two fall in championship weekend.

 

Big Ten Championship: Ohio State vs. Michigan State

EAST LANSING, MI - NOVEMBER 30:  Shilique Calhoun #89 of the Michigan State Spartans looks on prior to the start of the game against the Minnesota Golden Gophers at Spartan Stadium on November 30, 2013 in East Lansing, Michigan. The Spartans defeated the
Mark A. Cunningham/Getty Images

Ohio State can put away a lot of its biggest critics who are complaining about the weak schedule thanks to the Big Ten championship.

The Buckeyes will face far and away the best team they've faced all season, the No. 11 Michigan State Spartans. Mark Dantonio's squad hasn't lost since a September trip to Notre Dame.

The Week 15 BCS standings, which will be released Sunday at 8:30 p.m. ET, will tell us more about how dire it is that Ohio State wins convincingly. But the fact of the matter is, many people will side with a one-loss SEC team over an undefeated Big Ten champion, especially with the weakness of that conference this year.

Ohio State could blow this conversation out of the water by routing a Michigan State team that boasts one of the nation's best defenses, or simply give its spot up to the SEC champion with a loss.

Michigan State won't be squeaking into the title picture, but Sparty is thinking Rose Bowl, and that's a national title in itself to many around the Big Ten and Pac-12. 

 

ACC Championship: Florida State vs. Duke

GAINESVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 30:  Jameis Winston #5 of the Florida State Seminoles scrambles for yardage during the game against the Florida Gators on November 30, 2013 in Gainesville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

As laughable as an Auburn vs. Missouri SEC championship was at the beginning of the season, picking Duke to make the ACC title was borderline absurd.

And here we are, heading into conference championship weekend with the Blue Devils as the only player standing in between the new No. 1 team in the country and a trip to Pasadena.

Led by underrated head coach David Cutcliffe, Duke has shown a liking to close games this season. Three of its last five games were won by a margin of one possession or less, and the two that weren't included outbursts of 21 points and 17 points in the fourth quarter to clinch the win.

Meanwhile, Jameis Winston's Heisman hopeful season has allowed Florida State to roll over every team it has faced. The 'Noles have won every game by at least two touchdowns, and have an average margin of victory of more than 40.

It'll certainly be a battle of two very different winning styles, but anything other than a blowout Florida State win would be a surprise.