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NFL Expert Picks Week 13: Highlighting Popular ATS Selections

LANDOVER, MD - DECEMBER 03:  Quarterback Eli Manning #10 of the New York Giants drops back to pass against the Washington Redskins at FedExField on December 3, 2012 in Landover, Maryland.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
Rob Carr/Getty Images
Richard LangfordCorrespondent INovember 29, 2013

Just in time to rescue our bank accounts from Black Friday madness, Week 13 of the NFL offers up some vulnerable spreads this week. 

As I try to add a little cash to my budget, I've scoured the expert selections for the coming weekend and have begun analyzing popular selections so I can prognosticate with confidence. 

Hopefully, this helps us all finish off the Thanksgiving weekend on a lucrative note...and not just a full one. Have a look at all my picks for the remainder of the week, and then I'll highlight three of the more popular ones.

Langford's Week 13 ATS Picks
Away TeamHome TeamSpreadATS Pick
Tennessee TitansIndianapolis ColtsIND -4Titans
Denver BroncosKansas City ChiefsDEN -3.5Chiefs
Jacksonville JaguarsCleveland BrownsCLE -7Jaguars
Tampa Bay BuccaneersCarolina PanthersCAR -8Panthers
Chicago BearsMinnesota VikingsMIN -1Bears
Arizona CardinalsPhiladelphia EaglesPHI -3.5Eagles
Miami DolphinsNew York JetsNYJ -1.5Dolphins
Atlanta FalconsBuffalo BillsBUF -3.5Bills
St. Louis RamsSan Francisco 49ersSF -9.5Rams
New England PatriotsHouston TexansNE -5.5Patriots
Cincinnati BengalsSan Diego ChargersSD -1.5Chargers
New York GiantsWashington RedskinsWAS -1.5Giants
New Orleans SaintsSeattle SeahawksSEA -5Seahawks
Source: ScoresandOdds.com

The following three selections have been mentioned by numerous experts. As evidence, here are the picks of eight CBS experts and three experts at the LasVegasSun.com, where these three plays are all featured often. 

 

Jacksonville Jaguars +7 at Cleveland Browns

CLEVELAND, OH - NOVEMBER 03:  Quarterback Brandon Weeden #3 of the Cleveland Browns looks for a receiver against the Baltimore Ravens at FirstEnergy Stadium on November 3, 2013 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)
Matt Sullivan/Getty Images

The Jacksonville Jaguars are a popular pick this week for a big and very valid reason, despite being in the midst of an abysmal season.

Second-year quarterback and 30-something Brandon Weeden has not been a good NFL quarterback. 

So, while the Jaguars have been awful on defense, they will stand a strong chance of shutting down the Browns' offense. After all, last week the Jaguars held Case Keenum and the Houston Texans to six points.

Meanwhile, Cleveland's defense has been strong this season, and it is first in the NFL in yards allowed per play. The Jaguars will struggle to move the ball in this one, and there is no way I'd pick them on the moneyline. 

That also means, however, that I expect a low-scoring game, which makes seven points even more valuable. 

 

New York Giants -1.5 at Washington Redskins

LANDOVER, MD - DECEMBER 03:  Robert Griffin III #10 of the Washington Redskins talks with Justin Tuck #91 of the New York Giants after a game at FedExField on December 3, 2012 in Landover, Maryland. The Washington Redskins defeated the New York Giants 17-
Patrick McDermott/Getty Images

The New York Giants are coming off of a crushing 24-21 loss to the Dallas Cowboys. After starting the season at 0-6 and then winning their next four games, that loss was a big blow to the Giants' playoff chances. 

It would be impossible for this not take the wind out of the team's sails a bit. 

Still, the Giants' sails have to be catching a lot more wind than the Redskins'. 

Washington's season has come completely off the rails. Not only is this team losing, but there appear to be some serious behind-the-scenes issues.

Stories of drama surrounding Robert Griffin III and his coaches, teammates and even his dad have been hovering over the Redskins for weeks. I have no idea what's really going on; however, it does seem pretty clear that things are not moving in the right direction.

The worst part for Washington is that Griffin and the offense aren't as big of a problem as the anemic defense.  

The Redskins are 28th in yards allowed per game and 29th in yards allowed per play. This defense rarely gets in position to make quality tackles, and when it does, it rarely makes those tackles.

The Giants will send this sinking team further into the abyss. 

  

St. Louis Rams +9.5 at San Francisco 49ers 

ST. LOUIS, MO - SEPTEMBER 26: Colin Kaepernick #7 of the San Francisco 49ers is tackled by T.J. McDonald #25 and Eugene Sims #97 both of the St. Louis Rams at the Edward Jones Dome on September 26, 2013 in St. Louis, Missouri.  The 49ers beat the rams 35-
Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

The St. Louis Rams are surging. The Rams have won the last two games, against the Colts and Bears, by a combined score of 80-29.

This explains why the Rams can be a popular bet despite playing in San Francisco after falling to the 49ers in St. Louis, 35-11, in Week 4. 

Obviously, the Rams have been playing like a different team than they were in Week 4. Kellen Clemens has been solid while filling in for the injured Sam Bradford. Also, the running game has come alive in St. Louis. The Rams have rushed for an average of 186 yards throughout their last three games. 

What really makes this an attractive selection, however, is the Rams improved defensive play. 

The Rams have been solid on the year by allowing an average of 4.1 yards per carry. Throughout their last three games, the Rams have allowed an average of 3.9 per carry. 

This will allow the Rams to limit the 49ers' fourth-ranked rushing attack, and when defenses can force the 49ers into passing downs, San Francisco struggles. 

 

Season stats and rankings via TeamRankings.com.

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