The Orlando Magic (70-29 SU, 59-39-1 ATS, 43-56 O/U) will be looking to eliminate the top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers (75-19 SU, 57-36-1 ATS, 41-52-1 O/U) when they meet at Quicken Loans Arena at 8:30 PM ET for Game 6 of their Eastern Conference Finals showdown in the BetUS Sportsbook.
The Magic took a commanding 3-1 lead in the series by eking out a narrow 116-114 overtime victory over the Cavaliers in Game 4 on Tuesday night, cashing in for as a 1.5-point home underdog while the final score played Over the 188-point O/U total making both of my selections in the BetUS Locker Room that day cash in for BetUS NBA sports betting members.
All-star center Dwight Howard led the Magic with 27 points and 14 rebounds while veteran point guard Rafer Alston added 26 points in the win.
League MVP LeBron James scored a game-high 44 points and grabbed 12 rebounds for the Cavaliers in a losing effort.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Picks.
The Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog.
The Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Finals games.
The Under is 10-1 in Magic last 11 Thursday games.
The Over is 4-1 in Magic last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Over is 4-0-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
The Magic are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
The Magic are 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
The Underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
Orlando Magic +7½ -110
Cleveland Cavaliers -7½ -110
Over 190½ -110
Under 190½ -110
Analysis: Maybe it’s me BetUS NBA sports betting backers, but just as I wrote about the last contest between these two ballclubs - I am absolutely perplexed at the odds on this contest.
Despite going a spotless 4-0 ATS in their last four playoff games as an underdog and an even more impressive 6-0 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning SU record, not to mention outplaying the Cavaliers in every single game in this series, the Magic are huge underdogs for tonight’s contest – particularly that was only one desperate three-point shot away from completing an emphatic sweep of the top seed in the Eastern Conference.
While the Cavaliers can boast a solid 6-1 ATS record in their last seven games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and identical 6-1 ATS record in their last seven games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, they have been exposed by the sweet-shooting Magic, going a disturbing 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus a team with a winning SU record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Finals games.
To make matters worse, the Cavaliers have turned into a literal one-man gang, relying solely on LeBron James to both, score the ball – and create shots for his flat-footed teammates.
While I like the Cavaliers to keep their season alive for one more game, I fully believe they are going to fail in their attempt to cover the spread as they have gone 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.
The Over has played out in four of the last five games between these rivals and is 4-0-1 in Cleveland’s last five games following a SU loss.
Take the Magic and the points to cover the spread and the over beloved BetUS NBA sports betting community!
NBA Free Picks: Orlando Magic +7½ Total Points/Over 190½ Total Points