Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistNovember 26, 2013

COLUMBUS, OH - NOVEMBER 24: Carlos Hyde #34 of the Ohio State Buckeyes runs with the ball against the Michigan Wolverines at Ohio Stadium on November 24, 2012 in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images)
Jamie Sabau/Getty Images

The Michigan vs. Ohio State rivalry has been pretty one-sided in the past decade, with the Buckeyes boasting an 8-1 mark—both straight up and against the spread—in this annual clash.

The Wolverines catch 14 points here from Vegas, but their history of covering home spreads against Ohio State isn’t anything to be proud of (1-6 ATS in seven recent tries).


Point spread

Ohio State opened as 14.5-point favorites in The Game; the total was 58 early in the week. (Line updates and matchup report)


Odds Shark computer prediction

47-26 Buckeyes


Why Ohio State can cover the spread

As long as the Buckeyes have an outside chance at sneaking into the BCS Championship picture, they're worth a look in any game. While the line is big for such a heated rivalry, keep in mind Ohio State has won and covered eight of the last nine meetings, and if there's one thing coach Urban Meyer takes to heart, it's rivalry week.


Why Michigan can cover the spread

It's one thing to play a spoiler role in a conference game, it's another to ruin the title hopes of your biggest rival ever. The Wolverines have lost three of four straight-up, yes. But this is an entirely different animal, and the approach for this game is always the same: win outright.

At their best, the Wolverines can stay within this big number, something they have failed to do in six of seven tries at home against the Buckeyes.


Smart Pick

Not only are the Buckeyes on an 8-1 SU run in this series, but they've also covered six straight meetings with Big Blue and six of seven visits here. And, a win in this rivalry just won't cut it; Ohio State needs to win big and impressively if it wants any chance of leapfrogging into the title game.

The Buckeyes need a blowout.



  • Ohio State is 8-1 SU and ATS in nine games vs. Michigan
  • Michigan is 1-6 ATS past seven at home vs. Ohio State


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