BCS Bowl Predictions 2013: Updated Picks After Week 14 Standings

Tyler Brooke@TylerDBrookeSenior Analyst IINovember 24, 2013

TUSCALOOSA, AL - NOVEMBER 23:  Head coach Nick Saban of the Alabama Crimson Tide leads his team on the field to face the Chattanooga Mocs at Bryant-Denny Stadium on November 23, 2013 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The college football regular season is starting to wind down, and the BCS bowl picture continues to change.

If you think the current BCS rankings will stay the same after Week 14, you haven't watched the past couple of seasons.  Top-tier teams always fall near the end of the year, and we saw just that this past week with the Oregon Ducks and Baylor Bears both falling on Saturday.

Below is a look at the most recent BCS standings, followed by a look at which teams would likely be going to the BCS bowl games if the rest of the season plays out ideally.  Of course, nothing ever works out the way it's supposed to in college football.

Week 14 BCS Standings
RankTeamAVG
1Alabama.9881
2Florida State.9697
3Ohio State.9200
4Auburn.8236
5Missouri.8077
6Clemson.7726
7Oklahoma State.7615
8Stanford.6665
9Baylor.6456
10South Carolina.6101
11Michigan State.5780
12Arizona State.5052
13Oregon.4950
14Northern Illinois.4620
15Wisconsin.4448
16Fresno State.4124
17LSU.3737
18Oklahoma.3380
19UCF.3364
20Louisville.2522
21Texas A&M.2243
22UCLA.1921
23USC.1779
24Duke.0885
25Notre Dame.0674
Projections for BCS Bowl Games
Bowl Game
Alabama Crimson TideBCS National ChampionshipFlorida State Seminoles
Ohio State BuckeyesRose BowlStanford Cardinal
Clemson TigersOrange BowlMichigan State Spartans
Auburn TigersSugar BowlUCF Knights
Oklahoma State CowboysFiesta BowlNorthern Illinois Huskies

It's not a surprise at all, but the Alabama Crimson Tide and Florida State Seminoles are still the top two teams and will likely play each other in the BCS National Championship.  At this point, as long as they both win out, it doesn't matter how poorly they play.  

All that matters is that they keep winning and stay undefeated so that they can play in this exciting game.  With how well they've both been playing, an epic showdown between Jameis Winston and AJ McCarron seems imminent.

TALLAHASSEE, FL - NOVEMBER 16: Jameis Winston #5 of the Florida State Seminoles drops back to pass during the first half against the Syracuse Orange at Doak Campbell Stadium on November 16, 2013 in Tallahassee, Florida. (Photo by Jeff Gammons/Getty Images
Jeff Gammons/Getty Images

As the other top-tier team that remains undefeated, the Ohio State Buckeyes are expected to win the Big Ten conference.  As the winner, they would go to the Rose Bowl, where they will play the Pac-12 champion.

As it stands now, the Stanford Cardinal leads the Pac-12 after Oregon's loss.  After falling to USC, it looked like Stanford was going to be out of the running, but thanks to the Ducks losing to the Arizona Wildcats, the Cardinal are now right back in it.  If this is the case, it will certainly be interesting to see how Braxton Miller can handle that stingy Stanford defense.

The Orange Bowl will likely feature the Clemson Tigers, who would replace the Seminoles coming out of the Pac-12.  The other spot in this bowl game would be an at-large bid, which could go one of two ways.  

Nov 23, 2013; Evanston, IL, USA; Michigan State Spartans safety Isaiah Lewis (9) reacts to being ejected from the game for a personal foul against Northwestern Wildcats quarterback Kain Colter (2) during the first quarter at Ryan Field. Mandatory Credit:
Reid Compton-USA TODAY Sports

As it stands now, the second team would be the Michigan State Spartans; however, they will play against the Buckeyes in the Big Ten championship. If they play poorly in it, they could be knocked out of the running, giving the Wisconsin Badgers a spot in the Orange Bowl.

I think that the Spartans will hold their own in that one and be able to grab a spot in this game, though.  Their defense is one of the best in the league, and it would certainly be entertaining to watch them try to stop Tajh Boyd and Sammy Watkins.

Alabama's likely trip to the national championship will leave their spot open in the Sugar Bowl, which means that either Missouri or Auburn could take it.  Since both have to play Alabama by the end of the year, I'm going with Auburn, due to the fact that they're higher in the latest BCS rankings.

The other spot in the Sugar Bowl would be taken by the UCF Knights, considering they're on top of the AAC and earn an automatic bid to one of the BCS bowl games.  Auburn would be the big favorite, but we've seen plenty of crazy things happen in the Sugar Bowl.

STILLWATER, OK - NOVEMBER 23:  Emmanuel Ogbah #38 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys celebrates with teammates in the second quarter against the Baylor Bears at Boone Pickens Stadium on November 23, 2013 in Stillwater, Oklahoma.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Gett
Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

Baylor's big loss now has the Oklahoma State Cowboys at the top of the Big 12, which means that they'd be able to go to the Fiesta Bowl as conference champions.  That's certainly quite a reward for taking down a previously undefeated team.

The last team to qualify for a bowl game would be the Northern Illinois Huskies, considering that they're a non-automatic qualifier that's eligible; however, if Northern Illinois falls, the Fresno State Bulldogs would likely take their spot.

Like I said earlier, these projections could certainly change over the next couple of weeks, but in the event that they stay the same, this would still be a terrific group of games to watch.