Projected BCS Standings 2013: Predicting the Most Significant Changes

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Projected BCS Standings 2013: Predicting the Most Significant Changes
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Week 13 of the 2013 college football season was one of extraordinarily stunning proportions. Multiple BCS Bowl Game contenders lost games in lopsided fashion, and two of the top five Heisman Trophy candidates were absolutely dreadful in blowout losses.

What this all adds up to is a number of dramatic changes in the upcoming polls. Some teams will rise, while others will fall.

The question is, which teams will see the most significant changes in their respective rankings?

BCS Projections
Rank Team Record PVS
1. Alabama 11-0 1
2. Florida State 11-0 2
3. Ohio State 11-0 3
4. Auburn 10-1 6
5. Clemson 10-1 7
6. Missouri 10-1 8
7. Oklahoma State 10-1 10
8. Stanford 9-2 9
9. South Carolina 9-2 11
10. Michigan State 10-1 13
11. Baylor 9-1 4
12. Oregon 9-2 5
13. Fresno State 10-0 15
14. Northern Illinois 11-0 16
15. Arizona State 9-2 17
16. Wisconsin 9-2 19
17. LSU 8-3 22
18. Oklahoma 9-2 20
19. UCF 9-1 18
20. Texas A&M 8-3 12
21. Louisville 10-1 21
22. USC 9-3 23
23. UCLA 8-3 14
24. Duke 9-3 NR
25. Arizona 7-4 NR

Previous ranks via BCSFootball.org

 

Oregon, Texas A&M Will Plummet

Sean Gardner/Getty Images

During Week 13, two of the top three Heisman Trophy candidates saw their dreams of winning the prestigious award vanish. More importantly, two of the top BCS bowl game contenders fell in lopsided fashion.

As a result, the previously No. 5 Oregon Ducks and No. 12 Texas A&M Aggies will plummet in the next release.

Oregon's loss was stunning, as Mark Helfrich's club lost 42-16 to the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona is now 7-4 but hadn't defeated a ranked opponent during the 2013 college football regular season.

Not only did Oregon lose, but Marcus Mariota posted a dud as the Ducks fell by 26 points to a team that it should've blown out.

Texas A&M, meanwhile, lost to the No. 22 LSU Tigers for the second consecutive season. Johnny Manziel failed to do much of anything against LSU for the second consecutive season, and Texas A&M lost 34-10 and is now 0-3 against teams that were ranked at the time of the games.

The Aggies are now 8-3 and are unlikely to be anywhere near the Top 15 after this blowout defeat.

Manziel and Mariota should no longer be Heisman Trophy Candidates, and it's hard to imagine either Texas A&M or Oregon being in the BCS conversation after this game. The Ducks can return to the latter conversation, but neither team is looking good after this week.

Two top teams, two blowouts, two dramatic drops.

 

Oklahoma State Moves Up, Baylor Falls Hard

Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

Arguably the most surprising result of the day was in Stillwater, Oklahoma. The No. 10 Oklahoma State Cowboys moved to 10-1 by absolutely demolishing the No. 4 Baylor Bears by a score of 49-17.

In turn, Oklahoma State will see a major rise in the rankings, and Baylor will fall hard.

Where should Baylor be ranked after losing to Oklahoma State?

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Oklahoma State has won seven consecutive games, earning three over teams that were ranked at the time of their meetings. The common theme in each of those games is that the Cowboys blew out Texas, Texas Tech and Baylor.

If you didn't believe the hype before, you should now.

Baylor suffered a stunning and disappointing loss with an opportunity to contend for the BCS National Championship Game on the line. The nation's most explosive offense, which averaged 61.2 points per game entering Saturday, was shut down for all four quarters.

In the end, the Bears were eliminated from title contention, and Bryce Petty was kicked out of the Heisman hunt.

I have Baylor, a team with a resume that doesn't play well in the BCS, falling all the way to No. 11. Almost every team that won in the Top 10 did so in dominant fashion, and that will be rewarded.

Oklahoma State, meanwhile, sees a rise from No. 10 to No. 7. Both Baylor and Oregon lost, which does wonders for the Cowboys. The win over Baylor was impressive enough for Mike Gundy's crew to leapfrog Stanford.

Things just got interesting in the Big 12.

 

Michigan State, Wisconsin Will Rise

David Banks/Getty Images

The rise of the often maligned Big Ten continued during Week 13. The No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes remained undefeated. The No. 13 Michigan State Spartans moved to 10-1, and the No. 19 Wisconsin Badgers defeated the No. 25 Minnesota Golden Gophers 20-7.

Look for both Michigan State and Wisconsin to rise in the polls.

Michigan State went on the road and earned a 30-6 victory over the Northwestern Wildcats. It was the fifth time this season that the Spartans dominant defense has held an opponent to six points or less, and it further established the legitimacy of this team.

Mark D'Antonio's squad deserves to crack the Top 10, and at 10-1, it may just do that.

The Badgers continued what has been a brilliant season by moving to 9-2 with a defensive-minded win over Minnesota. The rushing attack continued to dominate, and it's worth noting that the Badgers' two losses have come by a combined nine points.

Those losses were against No. 3 Ohio State and the No. 17 Arizona State Sun Devils.

Both Michigan State and Wisconsin will move up in the rankings, and the Spartans have a genuine opportunity to crack the Top 10. No. 4 Baylor, No. 5 Oregon and No. 12 Texas A&M all lost, and Michigan State's defense made quite the statement.

No. 11 is a more realistic expectation due to the number of blowouts that Top-10 teams put up, but anything is possible. Saturday's action proved that.

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