San Francisco Giants: 13 percent
Center fielder Angel Pagan missed most of the 2013 season due to injury, and Jon Heyman reports that the Giants would consider shifting the 32-year-old to left.
Few members of this free-agent class provide superior outfield defense to Pagan, which is why the team will at least kick the tires on Denard Span.
Range, his greatest asset, would be especially valuable at spacious AT&T Park. Moreover, Span is nearly three years younger than Pagan, and his 20 stolen bases last year would have been good for the second-most on San Francisco, behind only Hunter Pence.
The Giants need to strengthen their offense, and this is one of the few ways to do it without unseating any regulars from the beloved 2012 team.
Chicago Cubs: 10 percent
Junior Lake produced plenty of exciting moments as a rookie, but the 23-year-old's resume doesn't suggest that he'll continue improving. It's unlikely that he'll have a lasting impact on the organization, at least not in an everyday role.
That means Chicago could have an opening in center field.
The Cubs and Nationals were partners in August's David DeJesus trade. Perhaps they'll once again cooperate in the relocation of an expendable veteran.
Other MLB Teams: 10 percent
Span's dramatic platoon splits with the Washington Nationals were completely uncharacteristic.
If the league dismisses them as an anomaly, then he could have a handful of suitors. But that's a big "if."
Odds of Staying Put: 67 percent
Jon Heyman has a hunch that Washington is listening to offers for Span so that he'll have somewhere to go in case the team lands Jacoby Ellsbury. The Nats' healthy relationship with Scott Boras and desire to contend immediately could culminate in an enormous contract.
With that said, odds are that Ellsbury signs outside of the nation's capital, leading the team to pull Span off the trading block.