Pacquiao vs. Rios Odds: Smartest Bets to Consider for Saturday's Fight

Joseph ZuckerFeatured ColumnistNovember 21, 2013

BEVERLY HILLS, CA - AUGUST 08:  Manny Pacquiao (L) and  Brandon Rios pose at a press conference previewing their upcoming match at Beverly Hills Hotel on August 8, 2013 in Beverly Hills, California.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

Brandon Rios and Manny Pacquiao don't have to be the only people to make money Saturday night. If you play your cards right, you could be looking at a nice windfall yourself.

As with any major prizefight, hundreds of millions of dollars will be gambled by people all across the globe. Plenty of people will lose, and plenty more will reap financial rewards.

After all, Vegas is a city built on winners, right?

To make the most money Saturday night, you'll have to make sure you bet smartly. There's no sense in gambling if you're simply going to focus on all the long shots that will never happen. You also don't want to choose the bets where there's little profit to be had.

With that in mind, these three bets present attractive options. All odds are courtesy of Sky Bet.


Manny Pacquiao on Points: 3-to-1

SHANGHAI, CHINA - JULY 31:  Freddie Roach (L) and Manny Pacquiao (R) chat at a press conference on July 31, 2013 in Shanghai, China.  (Photo by Kevin Lee/Getty Images)
Kevin Lee/Getty Images

Before Wednesday, perhaps you could see a future in which Rios won this fight.

After the fight between Freddie Roach, Alex Ariza and Robert Garcia, however, you can lock it in that Pacquiao will win this fight. As Kevin Iole of Yahoo! Sports reported, tempers flared between the two camps, leading to a physical confrontation.

Revenge will likely be sitting squarely on Pac-Man's mind. As if he wasn't already prepared enough to atone for the loss to Juan Manuel Marquez, seeing his trainer physically assaulted and then berated will only add fuel to the fire.

The question then becomes how he will win. 

Pacquiao hasn't won a fight by knockout since 2009. In that time, his skills in the ring have no doubt diminished. He's taken a lot of punishment, and you can see that it has adversely affected his ability.

You can remain confident that Pacquiao will win, but this one will be going the distance.


Either Fighter Wins on Points: 9-to-4

Some might say you should diversify your bets and spread the wealth. That way, you'll have a better chance of winning multiple bets, and having one outcome go the wrong way won't completely kill you.

I say phooey to that. Double down on this fight going to the judges' scorecards.

Quite frankly, the Pacquiao fans have seen in the last six fights isn't the same fighter who knocked out Miguel Cotto, Ricky Hatton and Oscar De La Hoya.

Pac-Man will still go on the offensive and take the fight to Rios. But he likely learned from the Marquez loss and will not take quite as many chances so as to not leave himself open for the kind of punch that could end the fight.


Brandon Rios Wins in First 60 Seconds: 100-to-1

BEVERLY HILLS, CA - AUGUST 08:  Brandon Rios attends a press conference previewing the upcoming match against Manny Pacquiao at Beverly Hills Hotel on August 8, 2013 in Beverly Hills, California.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

Call this one the Kevin Malone Principle. As the former Office character said, "If anyone gives you 10,000 to one on anything, you take it."

Sure, these aren't quite 10,000-1 odds, but the likelihood of Rios winning in the first 60 seconds is arguably less than that of John Mellencamp winning an Oscar.

There's no sense in arguing about this from the point of view that it's going to happen. Almost certainly, you'll never again see any money you devote to this bet. 

But the odds are so large that all it takes is a couple of bucks, and you've got a nice return coming back should it actually happen. It's a low-risk, high-reward bet for sure.

At least you won't get strung on for the entire fight to see if you'll get your money back. How can you complain about instant results?