Indianapolis Colts vs. Arizona Cardinals: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistNovember 19, 2013

GLENDALE, AZ - SEPTEMBER 27:  Wide receiver Steve Breaston #15 of the Arizona Cardinals carries the ball against the Indianapolis Colts during the NFL game at the Universtity of Phoenix Stadium on September 27, 2009 in Glendale, Arizona.  The Colts defeated the Cardinals 31-10.  (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)
Christian Petersen/Getty Images

The Colts and the Cardinals have stayed under five straight times since 1990, while the Colts have won the last four meetings between these two teams heading into their matchup this weekend.

Point spread: Cardinals opened as 2.5-point favorites; the total was 44.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

Odds Shark computer prediction: 23.7-21.0 Colts

Why the Colts can cover the spread

The rushing game continues to save the day for this team, despite there being a second-year phenom named Andrew Luck under center. While he's been difficult to protect lately, the rushing game is producing and that will be key against a tenacious Cardinals defense.

Why the Cardinals can cover the spread

Suddenly, Arizona is smack dab in the middle of the playoff picture with a 6-4 record, tied for second in the NFC West with the 49ers. And with the No. 9 defense in the league, one that is bolstered by the second-best rushing D, you can expect the stop unit to be fired up for this one.

Smart Pick

Arizona is laying just the right number to lend intrigue to this game, leaving bettors to wonder if they should play the underdog. Don't get trapped. The Cardinals bring pain in the trenches and can plug the holes to take away the Colts' rushing game and force Luck to make plays. The Cardinals will be in must-win mode.

Trends:

  1. Teams have played five straight UNDERs since 1990
  2. Colts have won past four meetings SU

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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