NFL Picks Week 11: Home Teams Sure to Please Fans with Big Wins

Chris Roling@@Chris_RolingFeatured ColumnistNovember 15, 2013

SEATTLE, WA - NOVEMBER 03: Quarterback Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks scrambles out of the pocket during the first quarter of the game at CenturyLink Field on November 3, 2013 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steve Dykes/Getty Images)
Steve Dykes/Getty Images

Home-field advantage in the NFL is not all it is cracked up to be.

Look at Week 10—only half of the home teams around the league escaped with victories. After all, these are paid professionals on the field who can adapt to hostile environments to pull off gritty wins.

While the ability to win on the road is an impressive feat, at least three of the road warriors in Week 10 stand no chance.

Some teams are either too tough to beat at home or simply in an extremely advantageous position. Here's a look at the full schedule for the weekend followed by three teams sure to make home audiences proud.

Week 11 NFL Picks
Away Team Home Team Predicted Winner
New York Jets Buffalo Bills New York
Baltimore Ravens Chicago Bears Chicago
Cleveland Browns Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati
Washington Redskins Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia
Detroit Lions Pittsburgh Steelers Detroit
Atlanta Falcons Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay
Arizona Cardinals Jacksonville Jaguars Arizona
Oakland Raiders Houston Texans Houston
San Diego Chargers Miami Dolphins San Diego
San Francisco 49ers New Orleans Saints New Orleans
Green Bay Packers New York Giants Green Bay
Minnesota Vikings Seattle Seahawks Seattle
Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos Denver
New England Patriots Carolina Panthers Carolina
Chris Roling's predictions

Chicago Beats Down Baltimore

The thought of being without a starting quarterback in the NFL would make most head coaches grimace.

Not Chicago's Marc Trestman.

While Chip Kelly gets all the attention in Philadelphia, Trestman is another name who has implemented a new offense in a new home to great results. It's the reason backup Josh McCown has looked like this in recent weeks:

Josh McCown in Spot Duty
Week/Opponent Yards TD INT Rating
Week 7 at WAS 204 1 0 119.6
Week 9 at GB 272 2 0 90.7
Week 9 vs. DET* 62 1 0 123.4
ESPN. *Just nine pass attempts

With ESPN's Adam Schefter reporting that Jay Culter is officially out, McCown will be under center again.

It won't make much of a difference.

Baltimore allows 239.7 passing yards per game and has allowed quarterbacks such as Cleveland's Jason Campbell to throw for three scores in a game this season.

The Ravens produce about 21 points per game, but it won't be enough on the road to match Trestman's offense and its near-30 point average.

Prediction: Bears 27, Ravens 20

New Orleans Upends San Francisco

One does not simply stop Drew Brees and the New Orleans offense.

In an unexpected twist, teams have also been unable to find any success through the air against a New Orleans defense under the guidance of coordinator Rob Ryan.

The Saints rank in the top three as a defense against the pass, allowing fewer than 200 passing yards per game.

That's a major problem for San Francisco, another team with aspirations for the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

Outside of a big game in Week 1, Colin Kaepernick has been unable to find success through the air this season. Last week the young quarterback hit rock bottom—Kaepernick managed just 91 passing yards and an interception.

San Francisco is a team that routinely enjoys running the football down the throats of defenders, but that won't be an effective strategy while playing from behind.

Which the 49ers will be doing.

Remember, this is a New Orleans offense that just set an NFL record with 40 first downs in a game last week. 40. Brees and the offense won't replicate that performance by any means, but the 49ers are not a play-from-behind team.

Prediction: Saints 30, 49ers 24

Seattle Trounces Minnesota

Last time Seattle was at home, the Seahawks needed overtime to beat the then-winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Strange, because the Seahawks have not lost at home since December of 2011.

Don't expect that streak to be snapped when Minnesota comes to town in Week 11.

Things are going to get ugly, and fast. Receiver Percy Harvin is seemingly finally healthy and set to make his debut with his new team—against his former team. Bob Condotta of The Seattle Times reports that Harvin will likely be good to go Sunday:

Minnesota doesn't need any help in losing this game.

Seattle has the No. 1 rushing attack in the NFL and a stagnant passing attack led by Russell Wilson will come to life. Even if Harvin is used as nothing more than a decoy, his presence will be felt against a Minnesota defense that ranks in the bottom half of the league against both the run and pass.

The Vikings know what they are walking into, but there is nothing they can do about it.

Prediction: Seahawks 30, Vikings 14


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