To give you an idea of why you should be skeptical of anything you hear or read about recruiting, consider this.
On Monday, Okafor's father told Mike Helfgot of the Chicago Tribune that Okafor has made up his mind. "He is confident in his choice," Chuck Okafor said.
On Thursday, Jones wrote in his blog on USA Today that he and Okafor are definitely still going to the same school. "That's 100 percent," he wrote. And Jones also said, "I haven't made up my mind yet."
So, it's a 100 percent that Jones and Okafor will play together. Okafor had made up his mind by Monday, according to his father. And Jones is still not sure where he's playing.
Lesson: Take everything with a grain of salt, no matter the source.
OK, let's get to the prediction...
If Okafor were not tied to Jones, the consensus would probably be that he's headed for Kansas.
Duke has not had a true big man as the primary scoring option since Elton Brand. There have been successful true bigs since—Carlos Boozer, Shelden Williams and Mason Plumlee—but the system caters more to perimeter scorers.
Bill Self's system, on the other hand, is catered to big men. Simply look at the game plans for each team on Tuesday night as an example.
It also appears—again, take this with a grain of salt—that Self has made Okafor his priority. Alexander's high school coach, Mike Oliver, told SNY.tv that he believes KU is focusing more on Okafor and said Self had been to Chicago a couple times the last few weeks and didn't come visit Alexander.
"He was there to visit Jahlil," Oliver said.
The experts have had Duke as the favorite throughout this race, but if Okafor wants to go to Kansas and Jones is unwilling to play without him, maybe Self has a shot.
Still, it's hard to believe Jones wants to go anywhere but Duke, so Duke is still the heavy favorite for his pal.