Andre Brown's Fantasy Football Outlook for Week 11 vs. Packers

Tim DanielsFeatured ColumnistNovember 14, 2013

Nov 10, 2013; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; New York Giants running back Andre Brown (35) is pursued by Oakland Raiders defensive end Jason Hunter (93) at MetLife Stadium. The Giants defeated the Raiders 24-20. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Andre Brown ran his way back onto the fantasy football radar last week.

The New York Giants running back gained 115 yards on an eye-popping 30 carries and also scored a touchdown en route to a 17-point fantasy day. It makes him an intriguing Week 11 option.

For the most part, Brown was a fantasy afterthought heading into the Giants' win over the Oakland Raiders. It was his first game back after missing an extended period of time due to a leg injury, and it was unclear how involved he would be in the offense.

It turned out the Giants, who have been searching far and wide for stability in the running game, decided to make him a featured piece of the game plan.

The best news for Brown's fantasy value, however, is the fact that the plan worked for New York. It was able to score its third straight win as the defense continued its resurgence, giving the Giants a strong foundation for an old-school approach of using the ground game and defense to win games.

Changing the game plan after finally getting back on track would be a surprise. In fantasy terms, that means Brown should get plenty of opportunities to rack up points, especially with the Green Bay Packers operating without Aaron Rodgers.

The Packers defense is average against the run. They are giving up a shade under 107 yards per game, which ranks 13th in the league. When Brown powered his way to 115 yards last week, he did it against the seventh-ranked Raiders run defense.

Beyond that, the current landscape of the position makes the NC State product impossible to ignore. Between injuries, committee situations, the remaining bye weeks and general poor play, any running back that has the potential to get 20 or more carries on a regular basis possesses a lot of value.

Although fantasy owners shouldn't expect Brown to get 30 touches a week moving forward, it's fair to expect at least 20 touches per contest, barring injury. That's more than enough to warrant starting him, especially in a favorable matchup.

The Packers certainly fall into that category after giving up 155 yards on 25 carries to the Philadelphia Eagles' LeSean McCoy last week.

In some situations, the best option after a player has a breakout game is waiting a week to make sure they are able to back it up. Plenty of times throughout a season, a player will post a big score and fail to match it at any point moving forward.

That isn't the case here.

Between Brown's heavy workload last week and the lack of other reliable options in the New York backfield, he is worth moving right into the starting lineup.

Week 11 Projection: 15 points (80 yards rushing, 15 yards receiving and a touchdown)