The 2-7 Falcons are in Tampa this Sunday to take on the 1-8 Bucs.
Point spread: Falcons opened as 2.5-point favorites, but it was bet back to even odds at one shop monitored by Odds Shark; the total was 43.5. (Line updates and matchup report)
Odds Shark computer says: 13.6-12.7 Falcons
Why the Falcons can cover the spread
Does embarrassment play a factor? Atlanta is going through one of those “lost” seasons that every team experiences from time to time, but there are enough veterans on hand to muster enough team pride to salvage something from this campaign.
Why the Bucs can cover the spread
Tampa got their first win on Monday night with a 22-19 victory over Miami. Maybe now that they've broken through, after so many close losses, the Bucs can get rolling. Tampa ranks a respectable 14th in rushing, and the defense ranks fifth vs the run, after holding the Dolphins to two yards rushing. Also, rookie QB Mike Glennon has thrown just one interception in the last four games.
The Odds Shark computer is predicting an Atlanta victory, but a Tampa cover, in a game that will play UNDER its total. Atlanta has been pretty terrible as of late, losing its last three games by an average of 24 points per.
Meanwhile, the Bucs just played one of their best games of the year. All of which sets up a good “reversal” bet. Take the Falcons.
Falcons 0-5-1 ATS past six divisional road games
Bucs 3-11 SU past 14 divisional games