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NFL Week 11 Picks: Teams That Are Sure to Win This Weekend

SEATTLE, WA - OCTOBER 13:  Cornerback Richard Sherman #25 of the Seattle Seahawks walks off the field  after defeating the Tennessee Titans 20-13 at CenturyLink Field on October 13, 2013 in Seattle, Washington. Sherman made a key interception in the game.  (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)
Kyle NewportFeatured ColumnistNovember 13, 2013

With the playoff races starting to heat up, the Seattle Seahawks are one of the teams locked to win in Week 11.

There have been some surprising results this season, but the teams on this list have nothing to worry about.

The teams listed are all in first place in their respective divisions. A win this week would help them inch closer to the postseason, so don’t expect a letdown. Whether it’s because of home-field advantage or their opponent, these teams are locks to win this week.

Here are predictions for Week 11 followed by a group of teams that are locks to win.

NFL Schedule-Week 11
DateTime (ET)AwayHomePrediction
11/148:25 p.m.Indianapolis ColtsTennessee TitansColts
11/171 p.m.New York JetsBuffalo BillsJets
11/171 p.m.Atlanta FalconsTampa Bay BuccaneersFalcons
11/171 p.m.Detroit LionsPittsburgh SteelersLions
11/171 p.m.Washington RedskinsPhiladelphia EaglesEagles
11/171 p.m.Arizona CardinalsJacksonville JaguarsCardinals
11/171 p.m.Oakland RaidersHouston TexansTexans
11/171 p.m.Baltimore RavensChicago BearsBears
11/174:05 p.m.San Diego ChargersMiami DolphinsChargers
11/174:25 p.m.Green Bay PackersNew York GiantsGiants
11/174:25 p.m.Minnesota VikingsSeattle SeahawksSeahawks
11/174:25 p.m.San Francisco 49ersNew Orleans SaintsSaints
11/178:30 p.m.Kansas City ChiefsDenver BroncosBroncos
11/188:40 p.m.New England PatriotsCarolina PanthersPatriots
Kyle Newport

 

Indianapolis Colts (at Tennessee Titans)

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - NOVEMBER 10:  Andrew Luck #12 of the Indianapolis Colts throws a pass during the game against the St. Louis Rams at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 10, 2013 in Indianapolis, Indiana.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

It will be the first of two matchups in three weeks between these teams. Last week, these two teams were on the wrong end of perhaps the most shocking results of the season.

The Indianapolis Colts had been surging but were beaten soundly at home. The St. Louis Rams came into Indianapolis and walked away with a 38-8 victory. They had entered the game at 3-6.

On the other side of this matchup, the Tennessee Titans lost to the winless Jacksonville Jaguars. It was a shocking defeat, especially because it came at home. Quarterback Jake Locker suffered a season-ending injury in the loss, which doesn’t bode well for this week.

Indianapolis will travel to Tennessee for Thursday Night Football, so backup quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick will be at a disadvantage.

The Colts rank 12th at 24.7 points per game, and they have averaged 25 points in four road games. They also have a physical defense led by Robert Mathis. Tennessee has lost three straight home games and has allowed 28.7 points per game.

After getting blown out by the Rams last week, the Colts will take care of business against the second-place Titans. An Indianapolis victory would give the Colts a three-game lead in the AFC South.

 

Cincinnati Bengals (vs. Cleveland Browns)

CLEVELAND, OH - SEPTEMBER 29: Quarterback Andy Dalton #14 of the Cincinnati Bengals throws a pass during the first half Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium on September 29, 2013 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)

Fans in Cincinnati are probably getting a little bit concerned with the Bengals. The team sits at 6-4 and atop the AFC North, but the Cleveland Browns sit right behind them at 4-5.

Back in Week 4, the Browns defense shut down Andy Dalton and the Bengals in Cleveland. Now the Browns have a different quarterback, and the Bengals are banged up. Corner Leon Hall and defensive lineman Geno Atkins are out for the season.

Cincinnati has lost back-to-back games in overtime. It had a chance to win both games, but it couldn’t find a way to keep drives going in overtime. Dalton has thrown six picks in the last two weeks, and the team still almost won both games.

The Bengals lost to the Baltimore Ravens last week, and the Browns had a bye. The rest favors the Browns, but the Bengals are tough to beat in Cincinnati. Despite being only 2-4 on the road, they are 4-0 at home. Opponents have scored more than 10 points only once in Cincinnati this season.

It’s a big game for both teams. If Cincinnati were to lose, they’d be only one game up in the win column on the Browns and would lose the tiebreaker. Dalton can’t possibly play any worse than he has in the last two games, and playing at home will help him.

 

Seattle Seahawks (vs. Minnesota Vikings)

SEATTLE, WA - SEPTEMBER 22: Quarterback Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks scrambles out of the pocket during the third quarter of the game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at CenturyLink Field on September 22, 2013 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo b

The Seattle Seahawks are 9-1 on the season, and the Minnesota Vikings are only 2-7. This looks like a mismatch.

If the Bengals are tough to beat at home, the Seahawks are nearly impossible to beat at home. Even after falling behind 21-0 in the second quarter of their last home game, the Seahawks found a way to win.

Seattle has won 12 straight games at home, and the Vikings are 0-4 on the road this season.
Seattle’s defense ranks third in the NFL with an average of only 15.9 points per game against, including only 14.3 at home, and Minnesota ranks 30th with an average of 31 points allowed.

This matchup looks like the surest bet of the week.

 

*All stats are courtesy of NFL.com

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