Week 11 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players
Over the past few weeks, fantasy owners have been scrambling for players who were just plain no-names at the start of the season. Guys like Case Keenum and Jordan Reed are two players who have been doing quite well recently after both starting the season third on their teams' depth charts.
As we look toward Week 11, there are many highly anticipated divisional matchups with several high-profile fantasy players taking part.
The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs, two of the league's best defenses, will go head-to-head this Sunday for control of the AFC West—a game that will most certainly be decided by which defense steps up most.
Aside from the AFC super fight, there are several other key games in which we will see the class of the NFL shine. For an inside look on all that and more, check out this week's 100 best players in fantasy football.
*All stats courtesy of Pro Football Reference*
|Rank||Player||Passing Yards||Passing TDs||Interceptions||Rushing Yards|
|1||Russell Wilson, SEA||290||4||0||58|
|2||Drew Brees, NO||340||3||0||0|
|3||Robert Griffin III, WAS||285||3||0||34|
|4||Peyton Manning, DEN||270||3||1||0|
|5||Case Keenum, HOU||265||3||0||9|
|6||Cam Newton, CAR||258||2||0||42|
|7||Nick Foles, PHI||267||2||1||14|
|8||Andrew Luck, IND||262||2||1||18|
|9||Alex Smith, KC||250||2||0||22|
|10||Jay Cutler, CHI||248||1||0||7|
|11||Matt Stafford, DET||245||2||0||12|
|12||Tom Brady, NE||238||2||1||5|
|13||Carson Palmer, ARI||230||2||1||0|
|14||Ryan Tannehill, MIA||217||1||0||17|
|15||Jason Campbell, CLE||225||2||1||22|
The Minnesota Vikings' secondary has proven to be one of the weakest units in the NFL at this point of the season; they've allowed at least 280 passing yards in each of their last three games and have also allowed seven passing touchdowns in that same span.
When Russell Wilson and the Seahawks host the Vikes on Sunday, expect much of the same from RW3, as well as some nifty footwork. Wilson has been on fire lately, posting a 9-2 touchdown-interception ratio over his last four games.
Robert Griffin III is also up for a big day on Sunday when he and the Redskins travel to Philly to take on the Eagles for the two rivals' second meeting of the season. He had 353 total yards and two passing touchdowns the last time these two teams met.
At the time, that was his first in-game action since January, so he should be even better this time around. Expect some big numbers from both the Eagles and Redskins on offense.
|Rank||Player||Rushing Yards||Rec.||Rec. Yards||Total TDs|
|1||Marshawn Lynch, SEA||152||3||26||2|
|2||LeSean McCoy, PHI||117||6||61||2|
|3||Adrian Peterson, MIN||94||4||37||2|
|4||Frank Gore, SF||103||2||24||1|
|5||Jamaal Charles, KC||95||4||42||1|
|6||DeAngelo Williams, CAR||93||4||38||1|
|7||Matt Forte, CHI||91||6||64||2|
|8||Eddie Lacy, GB||89||3||22||1|
|9||Alfred Morris, WAS||87||2||12||1|
|10||Reggie Bush, DET||86||6||48||1|
|11||Chris Ivory, NYJ||84||4||32||1|
|12||Ben Tate, HOU||83||2||11||1|
|13||Rashard Mendenhall, ARI||78||1||9||1|
|14||Lamar Miller, MIA||76||3||23||0|
|15||Mike James, TB||73||2||17||1|
|16||Ray Rice, BAL||68||3||25||1|
|17||Fred Jackson, BUF||70||4||32||0|
|18||Andre Brown, NYG||67||2||18||0|
|19||Giovanni Bernard, CIN||63||3||37||0|
|20||Stevan Ridley, NE||58||2||26||0|
When it comes to must-starts this week, look no further than Marshawn Lynch and LeSean McCoy.
Lynch has rushed for 270 yards in the last two weeks, as well as a touchdown, and will be taking on a Minnesota defense that has been allowing 113 rushing yards per game. Expect a healthy dose of carries for Lynch, which will lead to big chunks of yards as well as a score or two.
The last time the Eagles and Redskins faced off, McCoy exploded for 184 yards and a touchdown on the ground, and is in for another impressive showing Sunday. The Redskins' rush defense has since improved, but McCoy will still put up numbers en route to another solid day at the office.
|Rank||Player||Rec.||Rec. Yards||Rec. TDs|
|1||Calvin Johnson, DET||7||127||1|
|2||Brandon Marshall, CHI||6||118||2|
|3||Riley Cooper, PHI||6||114||2|
|4||Pierre Garcon, WAS||7||108||1|
|5||DeSean Jackson, PHI||7||97||2|
|6||Wes Welker, DEN||6||95||1|
|7||Josh Gordon, CLE||5||100||1|
|8||Andre Johnson, HOU||6||92||1|
|9||A.J. Green, CIN||6||88||1|
|11||Golden Tate, SEA||6||84||1|
|12||T.Y. Hilton, IND||5||86||1|
|13||Antonio Brown, PIT||6||85||0|
|14||Eric Decker, DEN||6||82||1|
|15||Jarrett Boykin, GB||5||84||1|
|16||Victor Cruz, NYG||5||82||0|
|17||Alshon Jeffery, CHI||5||78||1|
|18||Torrey Smith, BAL||6||74||1|
|19||Leonard Hankerson, WAS||5||72||1|
|20||Marques Colston, NO||6||69||1|
|21||Kendall Wright, TEN||6||71||0|
|22||Jordy Nelson, GB||5||62||1|
|23||Harry Douglas, ATL||6||65||0|
|24||Rod Streater, OAK||5||60||0|
|25||Stevie Johnson, BUF||5||54||1|
|26||Keenan Allen, SD||4||56||0|
|27||Cecil Shorts III, JAX||4||52||0|
|28||Percy Harvin, SEA||4||50||0|
|29||Kenny Stills, NO||4||48||1|
|30||Andre Roberts, ARI||4||44||0|
When the Redskins brought in Pierre Garcon in 2012, much was expected of him. Although he underperformed last season (largely due to injury) he has since become one of the best receivers in the league.
He has averaged 20 yards per catch the past two weeks—both were 100-yard-plus games for him. He hasn't been a touchdown machine, but he should be able to get in the end zone against the shoddy Eagles secondary this Sunday.
Keeping with the Eagles-Redskins theme, Riley Cooper is another receiver who has been playing big-time these past few weeks. Eight catches, 241 yards and five touchdowns—and that's just in his last two games.
Cooper should have another big day against a Washington secondary that has had some trouble defending big plays this season.
Percy Harvin will finally be making his Seahawks debut against his former team this weekend (per Chris Wesseling of NFL.com). This is the first time Harvin will be on a football field in 53 weeks, so don't expect huge numbers from the former Viking; he will need time to adjust to the new system and knock some of the rust off, but he'll be back to form sooner than later.
|Rank||Player||Rec.||Rec. Yards||Rec. TDs|
|1||Rob Gronkowski, NE||6||104||1|
|2||Jordan Reed, WAS||7||98||1|
|3||Jimmy Graham, NO||5||92||1|
|4||Vernon Davis, SF||6||88||1|
|5||Tony Gonzalez, ATL||5||83||1|
|6||Jordan Cameron, CLE||5||79||1|
|7||Coby Fleener, IND||5||76||1|
|8||Greg Olsen, CAR||6||75||1|
|9||Heath Miller, PIT||5||72||0|
|10||Timothy Wright, TB||4||68||1|
|11||John Carlson, MIN||5||65||0|
|12||Tyler Eifert, CIN||5||62||0|
|13||Julius Thomas, DEN||4||58||0|
|14||Ed Dickson, BAL||3||52||0|
|15||Charles Clay, MIA||3||47||0|
As I mentioned earlier, Jordan Reed has been an integral part of Washington's offense since the injury to their starting tight end, Fred Davis. In fact, Reed has made Davis expendable—there's a good chance he won't be on the team next season.
While still a quality start, Jimmy Graham's numbers did take a little bit of dive last week and will keep with that trend this week as he continues to play with an injured foot. He'll still have a good game, but it won't be what we're used to seeing from Graham.
|1||Steven Hauschka, SEA||3||1||5|
|2||Stephen Gostkowski, NE||3||2||2|
|3||Shaun Suisham, PIT||2||1||3|
|4||Phil Dawson, SF||3||1||2|
|5||Ryan Succop, KC||3||1||2|
|6||Mason Crosby, GB||2||1||3|
|7||Nick Novak, NYJ||3||0||2|
|8||Mike Nugent, CIN||2||1||2|
|9||Kai Forbath, WAS||2||0||3|
|10||Blair Walsh, MIN||1||1||2|
Steven Hauschka scored more fantasy points last week than most starting quarterbacks in the league and should have another good game against Minnesota on Sunday. Seattle is poised for a big game offensively, and somebody's gotta kick all those extra points. Hauschka will have another solid performance this week.
|3||Kansas City Chiefs||17||5||2|
|6||New England Patriots||21||2||1|
|7||New York Giants||24||1||3|
The defenses of the Broncos and Chiefs have been top-notch for the greater part of the season. Many think that the Chiefs are far behind the reigning AFC West champs, but let's keep in mind that this team is undefeated because of its defense—namely its defense against the pass.
While the Chiefs defense is overall a solid unit, the run defense is the eighth-worst in the league, and the pass defense is sixth-best. If anyone can disrupt Denver's offense, it's the Chiefs.