Fantasy

Week 11 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

Dilan AmesCorrespondent INovember 12, 2013

Week 11 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

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    Case Keenum has been on a roll lately.
    Case Keenum has been on a roll lately.Thomas Campbell-USA TODAY Sports

    Over the past few weeks, fantasy owners have been scrambling for players who were just plain no-names at the start of the season. Guys like Case Keenum and Jordan Reed are two players who have been doing quite well recently after both starting the season third on their teams' depth charts.

    As we look toward Week 11, there are many highly anticipated divisional matchups with several high-profile fantasy players taking part.

    The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs, two of the league's best defenses, will go head-to-head this Sunday for control of the AFC West—a game that will most certainly be decided by which defense steps up most.

    Aside from the AFC super fight, there are several other key games in which we will see the class of the NFL shine. For an inside look on all that and more, check out this week's 100 best players in fantasy football.

     

    *All stats courtesy of Pro Football Reference*

Quarterbacks

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    The Vikings have given up several big plays in the passing game, and Russell Wilson will now have his turn to put up some big numbers.
    The Vikings have given up several big plays in the passing game, and Russell Wilson will now have his turn to put up some big numbers.Daniel Shirey-USA TODAY Sports
    Rank PlayerPassing YardsPassing TDsInterceptionsRushing Yards
    1 Russell Wilson, SEA 290  4058
    2 Drew Brees, NO 340 3 0 0
    3 Robert Griffin III, WAS 285 3 034
    4 Peyton Manning, DEN 270 3 1 0
    5 Case Keenum, HOU 265 3 0 9
    6 Cam Newton, CAR 258 2 0 42
    7 Nick Foles, PHI 267 2 1 14
    8 Andrew Luck, IND 262 2 1 18
    9 Alex Smith, KC 250 2 0 22
    10 Jay Cutler, CHI 248 1 0 7
    11 Matt Stafford, DET 245 2 0 12
    12 Tom Brady, NE 238 2 1 5
    13 Carson Palmer, ARI 230 2 1 0
    14 Ryan Tannehill, MIA 217 1 0 17
    15 Jason Campbell, CLE 225 2 1 22

    The Minnesota Vikings' secondary has proven to be one of the weakest units in the NFL at this point of the season; they've allowed at least 280 passing yards in each of their last three games and have also allowed seven passing touchdowns in that same span.

    When Russell Wilson and the Seahawks host the Vikes on Sunday, expect much of the same from RW3, as well as some nifty footwork. Wilson has been on fire lately, posting a 9-2 touchdown-interception ratio over his last four games.

    Robert Griffin III is also up for a big day on Sunday when he and the Redskins travel to Philly to take on the Eagles for the two rivals' second meeting of the season. He had 353 total yards and two passing touchdowns the last time these two teams met.

    At the time, that was his first in-game action since January, so he should be even better this time around. Expect some big numbers from both the Eagles and Redskins on offense. 

Running Backs

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    LeSean McCoy terrorized the Packers for 155 yards this past week and is a must-start against the Redskins.
    LeSean McCoy terrorized the Packers for 155 yards this past week and is a must-start against the Redskins.John Geliebter-USA TODAY Sports
    RankPlayerRushing YardsRec.Rec. YardsTotal TDs
    1 Marshawn Lynch, SEA 152 3 26 2
    2LeSean McCoy, PHI 117 6 61 2
    3Adrian Peterson, MIN 94 4 37 2
    4 Frank Gore, SF103 2 24 1
    5 Jamaal Charles, KC 95 4 42
    6 DeAngelo Williams, CAR 93 4 38 1
    7Matt Forte, CHI 91 6 64 2
    8 Eddie Lacy, GB89 3 22 1
    9 Alfred Morris, WAS87 2 12 1
    10 Reggie Bush, DET 86 6 48 1
    11Chris Ivory, NYJ 84 4 32 1
    12Ben Tate, HOU 83 2 11 1
    13 Rashard Mendenhall, ARI 78 1 9 1
    14Lamar Miller, MIA 76 3 23 0
    15Mike James, TB 73 2 17 1
    16 Ray Rice, BAL68 3 25 1
    17 Fred Jackson, BUF 70 4 32 0
    18Andre Brown, NYG 67 2 18 0
    19Giovanni Bernard, CIN  63 3 37 0
    20 Stevan Ridley, NE 58 2 26 0

    When it comes to must-starts this week, look no further than Marshawn Lynch and LeSean McCoy. 

    Lynch has rushed for 270 yards in the last two weeks, as well as a touchdown, and will be taking on a Minnesota defense that has been allowing 113 rushing yards per game. Expect a healthy dose of carries for Lynch, which will lead to big chunks of yards as well as a score or two. 

    The last time the Eagles and Redskins faced off, McCoy exploded for 184 yards and a touchdown on the ground, and is in for another impressive showing Sunday. The Redskins' rush defense has since improved, but McCoy will still put up numbers en route to another solid day at the office. 

Wide Receivers

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    Riley Cooper has been an absolute beast these past few weeks, and is up for a big showing against Washington.
    Riley Cooper has been an absolute beast these past few weeks, and is up for a big showing against Washington.
    RankPlayerRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDs
    1 Calvin Johnson, DET 7 127 1
    2 Brandon Marshall, CHI 6 118 2
    3 Riley Cooper, PHI 6 114 2
    4 Pierre Garcon, WAS 7 108 1
    5 DeSean Jackson, PHI 7 97 2
    6 Wes Welker, DEN 6 95 1
    7Josh Gordon, CLE 5 100 1
    8 Andre Johnson, HOU 6 92 1
    9 A.J. Green, CIN 6 88 1
    10Demaryius Thomas 5 90 1
    11 Golden Tate, SEA 6 84 1
    12 T.Y. Hilton, IND 5 86 1
    13 Antonio Brown, PIT 6 85 0
    14 Eric Decker, DEN 6 82 1
    15Jarrett Boykin, GB 5 84 1
    16Victor Cruz, NYG 5 82 0
    17Alshon Jeffery, CHI 5 78 1
    18Torrey Smith, BAL 6 74 1
    19 Leonard Hankerson, WAS 5 72 1
    20Marques Colston, NO 669  1
    21 Kendall Wright, TEN 6 71
    22Jordy Nelson, GB5 62 1
    23 Harry Douglas, ATL 6 65 0
    24 Rod Streater, OAK 5 60
    25 Stevie Johnson, BUF 5 54 1
    26 Keenan Allen, SD 4 56 0
    27 Cecil Shorts III, JAX 4 52 0
    28 Percy Harvin, SEA 4 50 0
    29 Kenny Stills, NO 4 48 1
    30 Andre Roberts, ARI 4 44 0

    When the Redskins brought in Pierre Garcon in 2012, much was expected of him. Although he underperformed last season (largely due to injury) he has since become one of the best receivers in the league.

    He has averaged 20 yards per catch the past two weeks—both were 100-yard-plus games for him. He hasn't been a touchdown machine, but he should be able to get in the end zone against the shoddy Eagles secondary this Sunday.

    Keeping with the Eagles-Redskins theme, Riley Cooper is another receiver who has been playing big-time these past few weeks. Eight catches, 241 yards and five touchdowns—and that's just in his last two games.

    Cooper should have another big day against a Washington secondary that has had some trouble defending big plays this season.

    Percy Harvin will finally be making his Seahawks debut against his former team this weekend (per Chris Wesseling of NFL.com). This is the first time Harvin will be on a football field in 53 weeks, so don't expect huge numbers from the former Viking; he will need time to adjust to the new system and knock some of the rust off, but he'll be back to form sooner than later.

Tight Ends

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    Jordan Reed has been a tremendous part of Washington's passing game in recent weeks.
    Jordan Reed has been a tremendous part of Washington's passing game in recent weeks.Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
    RankPlayerRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDs
    1 Rob Gronkowski, NE 6 104 1
    2Jordan Reed, WAS 7 98 1
    3Jimmy Graham, NO 5 92 1
    4 Vernon Davis, SF 6 88 1
    5 Tony Gonzalez, ATL 5 83 1
    6 Jordan Cameron, CLE 5 79 1
    7 Coby Fleener, IND 5 76 1
    8 Greg Olsen, CAR 6 75 1
    9 Heath Miller, PIT 5 72 0
    10 Timothy Wright, TB 4 68 1
    11 John Carlson, MIN 5 65 0
    12 Tyler Eifert, CIN 5 62 0
    13 Julius Thomas, DEN 4 58 0
    14 Ed Dickson, BAL 3 52
    15 Charles Clay, MIA 3 47 0

    As I mentioned earlier, Jordan Reed has been an integral part of Washington's offense since the injury to their starting tight end, Fred Davis. In fact, Reed has made Davis expendable—there's a good chance he won't be on the team next season.

    While still a quality start, Jimmy Graham's numbers did take a little bit of dive last week and will keep with that trend this week as he continues to play with an injured foot. He'll still have a good game, but it won't be what we're used to seeing from Graham.

Kickers

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    Steven Hauschka has been money for the Seahawks all season.
    Steven Hauschka has been money for the Seahawks all season.Steve Dykes/Getty Images
    RankPlayerMakes40+XP
    1 Steven Hauschka, SEA 3 1 5
    2 Stephen Gostkowski, NE 3 2 2
    3 Shaun Suisham, PIT  2 1 3
    4 Phil Dawson, SF 3 1 2
    5 Ryan Succop, KC 3 1 2
    6 Mason Crosby, GB 2 1 3
    7 Nick Novak, NYJ 3 0 2
    8 Mike Nugent, CIN 2 1 2
    9 Kai Forbath, WAS 2 0 3
    10 Blair Walsh, MIN 1 1 2

    Steven Hauschka scored more fantasy points last week than most starting quarterbacks in the league and should have another good game against Minnesota on Sunday. Seattle is poised for a big game offensively, and somebody's gotta kick all those extra points. Hauschka will have another solid performance this week.

Defenses

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    Justin Houston and Tamba Hali are two of the league's best when it comes to rushing the passer.
    Justin Houston and Tamba Hali are two of the league's best when it comes to rushing the passer.Jamie Squire/Getty Images
    RankTeamPoints AllowedSacksTurnovers
    1 Seattle Seahawks 9 5 3
    2 Carolina Panthers 13 4 1
    3 Kansas City Chiefs 17 5 2
    4 Denver Broncos 13 3 3
    5 Cincinnati Bengals 17 2 2
    6 New England Patriots 21 2 1
    7 New York Giants 24 1 3
    8 New Orleans 20 3 1
    9 Miami Dolphins 17 2 1
    10 Arizona Cardinals 21 1 2

    The defenses of the Broncos and Chiefs have been top-notch for the greater part of the season. Many think that the Chiefs are far behind the reigning AFC West champs, but let's keep in mind that this team is undefeated because of its defense—namely its defense against the pass.

    While the Chiefs defense is overall a solid unit, the run defense is the eighth-worst in the league, and the pass defense is sixth-best. If anyone can disrupt Denver's offense, it's the Chiefs.

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