NCAA Football Rankings 2013: Predicting the AP Top 25 After Week 11

David KenyonFeatured ColumnistNovember 10, 2013

Shayne Skov helped Stanford to an impressive win over Oregon on Thursday night.
Shayne Skov helped Stanford to an impressive win over Oregon on Thursday night.Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Three matchups between Top 15 teams headlined Week 11 of the college football season, and the result of one tilt caused a shakeup in the national championship picture.

The long-awaited Thursday night showcase between No. 2 Oregon and No. 6 Stanford ended in thrilling fashion, as the Cardinal held off a furious fourth-quarter rally to sink the Ducks 26-20.

Also on Thursday, No. 5 Baylor showed its dominance on both sides of the ball, dismantling No. 12 Oklahoma 41-12.

Then, on Saturday, top-ranked Alabama outscored No. 10 LSU 21-3 during the second half as the Crimson Tide outlasted the Tigers 38-17 in an entertaining SEC matchup.

Each of No. 14 Miami, No. 24 Notre Dame and No. 25 Texas Tech lost on Saturday, so there will be noticeable movement throughout the poll. 

Notes: Previous rankings based on Week 11 AP Top 25. This is an AP projection, not BCS.

Projected Week 12 Rankings
Rank (Last week)Team
1 (1)Alabama
2 (3)Florida State
3 (4)Ohio State
4 (6)Stanford
5 (5)Baylor
6 (2)Oregon
7 (7)Auburn
8 (8)Clemson
9 (9)Missouri
10 (11)Texas A&M
11 (13)South Carolina
12 (15)Oklahoma State
13 (10)LSU
14 (16)UCLA
15 (17)Fresno State
16 (18)Michigan State
17 (19)Central Florida
18 (12)Oklahoma
19 (20)Louisville
20 (21)Wisconsin
21 (22)Northern Illinois
22 (14)Miami
23 (23)Arizona State
24 (NR)Texas
25 (NR)Minnesota
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Fun Facts

The SEC sits atop the projections with seven ranked schools, and the Pac-12 is the only other conference with at least four teams listed. The ACC, Big Ten and Big 12 each have three schools in the rankings.

As Clemson makes its 353rd all-time appearance in the AP poll, the program will earn its 100th Top 10 ranking.

This will be just the second time Oregon is not listed in the Top Five since Week 15 of the 2011 season. The Ducks were ranked No. 2 in the nation 18 times during that 28-week stretch but No. 1 only once.

Florida State will achieve the program's highest ranking since Week 7 of the 2000 season when the Seminoles were No. 1 in the nation.

Despite the loss, Oklahoma will appear in the AP poll for the 60th consecutive week. The Sooners were ranked for 60 straight weeks prior to this streak, too.


Falling: Oregon Ducks

PALO ALTO, CA - NOVEMBER 07:  Marcus Mariota #8 of the Oregon Ducks fumbles the ball when pressured by James Vaughters #9 of the Stanford Cardinal in the fourth period at Stanford Stadium on November 7, 2013 in Palo Alto, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

For the second consecutive year, the Oregon Ducks were performing like a national title contender.

But for the second consecutive year, Stanford did not allow Oregon to continue those championship hopes.

The Ducks failed to score throughout the first three quarters, and a 20-point fourth quarter was not enough to beat the Cardinal.

Oregon was held to just 312 offensive yards and allowed 14-of-21 third-down conversions, largely due to Stanford's powerful running game.

A berth in a BCS bowl is likely in the Ducks' future, but the postseason game won't be the one Oregon (8-1) had envisioned.


Rising: Ohio State Buckeyes

COLUMBUS, OH - SEPTEMBER 28:  Head Coach Urban Meyer of the Ohio State Buckeyes watches his team warm up before a game against the Wisconsin Badgers at Ohio Stadium on September 28, 2013 in Columbus, Ohio.  (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images)
Jamie Sabau/Getty Images

"Finally," Urban Meyer probably said.

Ohio State was ranked second in the nation at the beginning of the season but was jumped by Oregon, Clemson and Florida State at separate times.

The Buckeyes had the weekend off, but Ohio State will move up to No. 3 in the polls.

Additionally, the Buckeyes remaining regular-season slate includes only Illinois, Indiana and Michigan before Meyer's team matches up with Michigan State or Nebraska in the Big Ten Championship Game.

Overall, though, Ohio State (9-0) is inching closer to earning a trip to the BCS National Championship Game.


Falling: Miami Hurricanes

The Duke Johnson-less Miami Hurricanes burst out of the gate with an 81-yard screen pass from Stephen Morris to Stacy Coley for a touchdown.

But soon enough, three special-teams mishaps doomed the 'Canes in a 42-24 loss to rival Virginia Tech.

Miami allowed 8-of-14 third-down conversions, and Logan Thomas destroyed the Hurricanes' weak defense for 366 yards and two touchdowns on 25-of-31 passing.

After starting the 2013 season 7-0 and in control of the Coastal Division, Miami (7-2) is one loss away from making the Sun Bowl its postseason destination.


Rising: Oklahoma State Cowboys

Nov. 9, 2013; Stillwater, OK, USA;  Oklahoma State Cowboys running back Desmond Roland (26) catches a pass for a touchdown during the second quarter against the Kansas Jayhawks at Boone Pickens Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Richard Rowe-USA TODAY Sports
Richard Rowe-USA TODAY Sports

Oklahoma State did not win a high-profile game, smashing lackluster Kansas 42-6 as quarterback Clint Chelf tossed three touchdowns during the blowout.

What was most important, though, is the victory helped prepare the Cowboys for a brutal late-season stretch.

The Cowboys' remaining schedule consists of Texas, Baylor and Oklahoma, so Chelf and the Oklahoma State offense will be tested three times over the next four weeks.

Ultimately, Oklahoma State (8-1) controls its own destiny in the Big 12 but must overcome Baylor—a team that must be considered the unanimous favorite at this point of the year. 


Falling: Texas Tech Red Raiders

Nov 9, 2013; Lubbock, TX, USA; Texas Tech Red Raiders running back Kenny Williams (34) is tackled by Kansas State Wildcats middle line backer Blake Slaughter (54) in the first half at Jones AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Spor
Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Spo

The 2013 started off so promising for the Texas Tech Red Raiders, as first-year head coach Kliff Kingsbury began his career 7-0.

But three weeks later, the Red Raiders have lost three consecutive games to conference opponents, including back-to-back home contests.

Though Kansas State attempted just 11 passes, Texas Tech surrendered five rushing touchdowns and a pick-six during the 49-26 loss and will fall out of the rankings.

The road doesn't get any easier for Texas Tech (7-3), though, as the Red Raiders host Baylor next weekend.


Follow Bleacher Report CFB Writer David Kenyon on Twitter @Kenyon19_BR


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