NFL Picks Week 10: Underdogs to Bet with This Weekend

Chris Roling@@Chris_RolingFeatured ColumnistNovember 8, 2013

Nov 3, 2013; Oakland, CA, USA; Oakland Raiders quarterback Terrelle Pryor (2) throws a pass against the Philadelphia Eagles at Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Everyone loves an underdog.

That's especially the case in Week 10, when several supposed underdogs against better opposition have a strong chance of covering favorable lines or winning outright.

The following is a look at predictions against the spread for every game, followed by a look at three underdogs bettors should count on to cover for a variety of in-depth factors.


NFL Week 10 Lines and Predictions
Away Team Home Team Line Prediction (ATS)
Oakland Raiders New York Giants NYG -7Raiders
Seattle Seahawks Atlanta Falcons SEA -5.5Seahawks
Detroit Lions Chicago Bears PKDetroit
Philadelphia Eagles Green Bay Packers GB -1Philadelphia
Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans TEN -13Titans
St. Louis Rams Indianapolis Colts IND -9.5 Colts
Buffalo Bills Pittsburgh Steelers PIT -3 Bills
Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens CIN -1.5 Bengals
Carolina Panthers San Francisco 49ers SF -6 Carolina
Houston Texans Arizona Cardinals ARZ -3 EV Texans
Denver Broncos San Diego Chargers DEN -7 Broncos
Dallas Cowboys New Orleans Saints NO -6.5Cowboys
Miami Dolphins Tampa Bay Buccaneers MIA -2.5 Dolphins
Odds courtesy of Vegas Insider

Oakland Raiders (+7) vs. New York Giants

It was just a week ago the Oakland Raiders allowed Philadelphia's Nick Foles to go off for seven touchdowns, but as strange as it sounds, don't expect the same from New York's Eli Manning.

Manning has been a liability more than anything this season with his 10 touchdowns to 15 interceptions and he's thrown multiple picks in half of his starts.

The New York defense ranks well against the run and is average against the pass, but struggles with quarterbacks who have dual-threat capabilities. The perfect example is Week 3 against Carolina when Cam Newton went for 268 total yards and four touchdowns in a 38-0 rout.

New York has won two in a row but is now tasked with stopping Terrelle Pryor, who is healthy enough to play, per Rotoworld.

Pryor leads the NFL in rushes of 20 or more yards and is efficient enough through the air to do damage and keep Manning off the field. Expect Oakland to keep it close.

Philadelphia Eagles (+1) vs. Green Bay Packers

Again—Nick Foles threw seven touchdowns last week. Hooray. When Foles is on, he's on.

When Foles is off, he goes 11-of-29 for 89 yards like he did against Dallas in Week 7. 

Regardless, Foles does not need to do it all on his own against Green Bay. The Packers will be without starting quarterback Aaron Rodgers courtesy of a broken collarbone, per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport:

As a result, Green Bay will be forced into a read-option attack on the ground, which plays right into the Eagles' hands because the unit only allows about 112 yards per game.

Rookie back Eddie Lacy has been impressive with his 596 yards and four scores, but without Rodgers in the game to keep the defense honest, he'll have little room, option play or not.

With Foles somewhere between his two aforementioned extremes against the No. 20 ranked pass defense, Philadelphia has more than enough firepower to overcome the Packers at Lambeau Field in a close one.

Carolina Panthers (+6) vs. San Francisco 49ers

We'll let ESPN do the legwork here:

Of course, San Francisco is on a roll of its own coming out of the bye on a five-game winning streak, but the 49ers have not had to deal with a defense remotely close to the elite Carolina unit since a 29-3 beatdown at the hands of Seattle in Week 2.

Nov 3, 2013; Charlotte, NC, USA; Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton (1) calls a play during the game against the Atlanta Falcons at Bank of America Stadium. Panthers win 34-10.  Mandatory Credit: Sam Sharpe-USA TODAY Sports
Sam Sharpe-USA TODAY Sports

Newton is playing out of his mind, but it's a No. 3 overall ranked defense the 49ers must truly worry about.

San Francisco relies on the league's No. 1 rushing attack, but Carolina allows just 79 yards per game as the No. 2 unit and has held star backs such as Marshawn Lynch (43 yards) and Adrian Peterson (62 yards) in check.

49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick has thrown for over 200 yards just two times this year. With his running game bottled up, Kaepernick will be exposed through the air as Carolina rolls.


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