Projected BCS Standings 2013: How Oregon Loss Will Impact Rankings

Tim KeeneyContributor INovember 8, 2013

PALO ALTO, CA - NOVEMBER 07:  Wide receiver Bralon Addison #11 of the Oregon Ducks with the ball against linebacker Shayne Skov #11 of the Stanford Cardinal at Stanford Stadium on November 7, 2013 in Palo Alto, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Florida State's spot as a part of the projected national championship game is still alive.

The Seminoles captured Oregon's No. 2 spot in the BCS standings over the weekend with a comprehensive victory over then-No. 7 Miami, but as many looked ahead on the schedule, they saw a prime opportunity for the Ducks to quickly strike back. 

That opportunity came on Thursday night, but No. 5 Stanford thwarted the Ducks in a home game for the Cardinal, out-toughing them for a second year in a row en route to a 26-20 win. 

The comprehensive effort from Stanford is sure to send shockwaves through the top of the BCS standings. Let's take a gander at what the result might look like.

Note: Projected Standings will be updated on Saturday as more teams play their Week 11 games

Projected Week 12 BCS Standings
2Florida State8-0ACC2
3Ohio State9-0Big Ten4
5Baylor8-0Big 126
10Miami (Fla.)7-1ACC11
11South Carolina7-2SEC12
12Oklahoma7-2Big 1210
14Oklahoma State7-1Big 1214
15Texas A&M7-2SEC15
16Fresno State8-0MWC16
17Michigan State8-1Big Ten17
18Northern Illinois9-0MAC18
21Central Florida6-1AAC21
22Arizona State6-2Pac-1222
23Notre Dame7-2Independent23
24Wisconsin6-2Big Ten24
25Texas Tech7-2Big 1225

Let's first take a look at the night's biggest winners, Stanford and Baylor, who thoroughly took care of No. 10 Oklahoma on Thursday night. 

There's a chance Baylor will leapfrog Stanford, as well as Oregon, but I don't see the former happening. The Bears are already ahead of the Cardinal in the human polls, and both teams should see similar boosts in the computers, keeping them in the same spot relative to each other. 

It's unlikely Stanford will be able to catch Ohio State, however, which entered the week with a whopping 0.079 point advance in the BCS average. A win over a top-three opponent is massive, but that's a lot of ground to cover in one week. 

Now, on to to the Ducks, who go from controlling their own fate to needing a lot of help. 

With just Utah, Arizona and Oregon State—and no Pac-12 championship game unless Stanford loses at USC next week—left on the schedule, they simply don't have enough chances to bolster their resume. 

PALO ALTO, CA - NOVEMBER 07:  Head coach Mark Helfrich of the Oregon Ducks reacts in the first half while taking on the Stanford Cardinal at Stanford Stadium on November 7, 2013 in Palo Alto, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

That means they are going to need losses from at least three or four of Alabama, Florida State, Ohio State, Baylor and Stanford. 

Alabama still has matchups with LSU, Auburn and potentially an SEC Championship Game opponent. Baylor has two top-25 opponents in a row coming up. FSU, OSU and Stanford all have conference championships likely on the horizon.

So there's certainly still an outside chance for Mark Helfrich's squad.

But at this point, it's more plausible that Oregon will simply be headed for another BCS Bowl instead of the national championship.