Projected BCS Standings 2013: How Oregon Loss Will Impact Rankings

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Projected BCS Standings 2013: How Oregon Loss Will Impact Rankings
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Florida State's spot as a part of the projected national championship game is still alive.

The Seminoles captured Oregon's No. 2 spot in the BCS standings over the weekend with a comprehensive victory over then-No. 7 Miami, but as many looked ahead on the schedule, they saw a prime opportunity for the Ducks to quickly strike back. 

That opportunity came on Thursday night, but No. 5 Stanford thwarted the Ducks in a home game for the Cardinal, out-toughing them for a second year in a row en route to a 26-20 win. 

The comprehensive effort from Stanford is sure to send shockwaves through the top of the BCS standings. Let's take a gander at what the result might look like.

Note: Projected Standings will be updated on Saturday as more teams play their Week 11 games

Projected Week 12 BCS Standings
Rank Team Record Conference Pvs
1 Alabama 8-0 SEC 1
2 Florida State 8-0 ACC 2
3 Ohio State 9-0 Big Ten 4
4 Stanford 8-1 Pac-12 5
5 Baylor 8-0 Big 12 6
6 Oregon 8-1 Pac-12 3
7 Clemson 8-1 ACC 7
8 Missouri 8-1 SEC 8
9 Auburn 8-1 SEC 9
10 Miami (Fla.) 7-1 ACC 11
11 South Carolina 7-2 SEC 12
12 Oklahoma 7-2 Big 12 10
13 LSU 7-2 SEC 13
14 Oklahoma State 7-1 Big 12 14
15 Texas A&M 7-2 SEC 15
16 Fresno State 8-0 MWC 16
17 Michigan State 8-1 Big Ten 17
18 Northern Illinois 9-0 MAC 18
19 UCLA 6-2 Pac-12 19
20 Louisville 7-1 AAC 20
21 Central Florida 6-1 AAC 21
22 Arizona State 6-2 Pac-12 22
23 Notre Dame 7-2 Independent 23
24 Wisconsin 6-2 Big Ten 24
25 Texas Tech 7-2 Big 12 25

Let's first take a look at the night's biggest winners, Stanford and Baylor, who thoroughly took care of No. 10 Oklahoma on Thursday night. 

If Alabama and Florida State stay at No. 1 and 2, who will be No. 3?

Submit Vote vote to see results

There's a chance Baylor will leapfrog Stanford, as well as Oregon, but I don't see the former happening. The Bears are already ahead of the Cardinal in the human polls, and both teams should see similar boosts in the computers, keeping them in the same spot relative to each other. 

It's unlikely Stanford will be able to catch Ohio State, however, which entered the week with a whopping 0.079 point advance in the BCS average. A win over a top-three opponent is massive, but that's a lot of ground to cover in one week. 

Now, on to to the Ducks, who go from controlling their own fate to needing a lot of help. 

With just Utah, Arizona and Oregon State—and no Pac-12 championship game unless Stanford loses at USC next week—left on the schedule, they simply don't have enough chances to bolster their resume. 

Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

That means they are going to need losses from at least three or four of Alabama, Florida State, Ohio State, Baylor and Stanford. 

Alabama still has matchups with LSU, Auburn and potentially an SEC Championship Game opponent. Baylor has two top-25 opponents in a row coming up. FSU, OSU and Stanford all have conference championships likely on the horizon.

So there's certainly still an outside chance for Mark Helfrich's squad.

But at this point, it's more plausible that Oregon will simply be headed for another BCS Bowl instead of the national championship. 

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