NFL Lines Week 10: Against the Spread Picks for Each Game on Weekend Slate

Steven CookFeatured Columnist IVNovember 7, 2013

GREEN BAY, WI - NOVEMBER 04: Alshon Jeffery #17 of the Chicago Bears celebrates after making a touchdown catch during the second half of play against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on November 04, 2013 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Mike McGinnis/Getty Images)
Mike McGinnis/Getty Images

With the 2013 season passing its halfway point and entering Week 10, action is really starting to heat up across the NFL, with teams aiming their sights toward January and the playoffs.

Some teams are rising to the top and asserting their status as elite squads, while others are quickly kissing their playoff hopes goodbye. That contrast has made for a couple of lopsided spreads entering Week 10.

Here are my predictions against the spread for each game on the slate, and some featured picks.

 

Week 10 Picks Against the Spread
MatchupLinePick (ATS)
Washington at MinnesotaWAS -3Redskins
Jacksonville at TennesseeTEN -12Titans
Philadelphia at Green BayGB -1Packers
Buffalo at PittsburghPIT -3.5Steelers
Oakland at New York GiantsNYG -7Giants
St. Louis at IndianapolisIND -10Colts
Seattle at AtlantaSEA -6Seahawks
Cincinnati at BaltimoreCIN -1Bengals
Detroit at ChicagoDET -3Bears
Carolina at San FranciscoSF -649ers
Houston at ArizonaARI -3Texans
Denver at San DiegoDEN -7Broncos
Dallas at New OrleansNO -7Cowboys
Miami at Tampa BayMIA -3Dolphins
Spreads via Bovada.lv and VegasInsider.com

Note: WAS/MIN, CAR/SF, DEN/SD, DAL/NO, MIA/TB spreads via Bovada.lv. OAK/NYG, SEA/ATL, DET/CHI, HOU/ARI spreads via VegasInsider.com

 

Notable Picks Against the Spread

Chicago Bears (+3) over Detroit Lions

GREEN BAY, WI - NOVEMBER 04:  Josh McCown #12 of the Chicago Bears passes against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on November 4, 2013 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Bears defeated the Packers 27-20.  (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

Whether it's Jay Cutler or Josh McCown taking snaps Sunday at Soldier Field, the Bears will come out victorious and beat the spread over the Lions.

Per Chicago Tribune's Rich Campbell on Thursday, Cutler is expected to start after being cleared to play. But in relief, McCown has played admirably by nearly leading his Bears to a victory after being thrown into the fire two weeks ago against Washington. 

GREEN BAY, WI - NOVEMBER 04: Head coach Marc Trestman of the Chicago Bears calls a play against the Green Bay Packers as Jay Cutler #6 (L) listens in at Lambeau Field on November 4, 2013 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Bears defeated the Packers 27-20. (Phot
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

Then, he went into Lambeau Field and notched an elusive Bears road win over the rival Packers, throwing for 272 yards and two scores. 

Matt Forte's emergence is a big reason why the Bears have gotten out to a 5-3 record, and he's playing at his best as of late. With four touchdowns and nearly 300 total yards in the last two games, he's a machine at the moment.

Despite the Bears' 40-32 loss to the Lions earlier this season, Forte had a good game with 14 carries for 95 yards and a score. At home, that will only improve. 

Detroit's Matthew Stafford has been on point lately, but he's lacked a formidable running game, and that will turn into a big advantage for Chicago. 

Prediction: Bears 35, Lions 30

 

Houston Texans (+3.5) over Arizona Cardinals

Nov 3, 2013; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Texans quarterback Case Keenum (7) attempts a pass during the fourth quarter against the Indianapolis Colts at Reliant Stadium. The Colts defeated the Texans 27-24. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

At 2-6 and featuring a youngster at starting quarterback, it's hard to argue for Houston beating anyone—much less a .500 team. But signs are pointing to that happening Sunday afternoon. 

The Texans have lost six straight, but despite that, are holding teams to an NFL-best 158 passing yards per contest. 

Arizona comes in at a surprising 4-4, but are in the bottom half of the league (18th) in pass offense as veteran Carson Palmer hasn't turned into the pocket presence he proved to be in Cincinnati. The rushing attack hasn't been any better, posting a No. 24 ranking in rush yards per game. 

Nov 3, 2013; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Texans running back Dennis Johnson (28) rushes during the third quarter against the Indianapolis Colts at Reliant Stadium. The Colts defeated the Texans 27-24. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Teams have been able to pound Houston on the ground in order to get out to early and late leads, but that won't be the case on Sunday as the Cardinals are still searching for a ground game.

On Houston's side, second-year quarterback Case Keenum has quickly turned into a formidable weapon. In just his second start, he torched one of the league's best defenses in Indianapolis for 350 yards and three touchdowns. 

As long as Keenum continues to build chemistry with resurgent receiver Andre Johnson, the Texans should get back to their winning ways against the Cards.