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Week 10 NFL Predictions: Teams That Are Guaranteed to Cover the Spread

Nov 3, 2013; Landover, MD, USA; Washington Redskins running back Alfred Morris (46) runs with the ball during overtime against the San Diego Chargers at FedEx Field. The Redskins defeated the Chargers 30-24. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
Steven CookContributor IIINovember 8, 2013

As crazy as it seems, Week 10 of the 2013 NFL season is already upon us. Certain teams are jockeying for playoff position as the season has officially passed its halfway point.

With so many mediocre teams and very few elite clubs in the league, picking sides in predictions has been much harder than usual. However, these picks are sure to hold up and are worth taking to the bank.

Let's take a look at the biggest locks for teams to cover the spread this weekend.

Week 10 NFL Predictions Against the Spread
MatchupLinePick (ATS)
Washington at MinnesotaWAS -3-
Jacksonville at TennesseeTEN -12Titans
Philadelphia at Green BayGB -1Packers
Buffalo at PittsburghPIT -3.5Steelers
Oakland at New York GiantsNYG -7Giants
St. Louis at IndianapolisIND -10Colts
Seattle at AtlantaSEA -6Seahawks
Cincinnati at BaltimoreCIN -1Bengals
Detroit at ChicagoDET -3Bears
Carolina at San FranciscoSF -649ers
Houston at ArizonaARI -3Texans
Denver at San DiegoDEN -7Broncos
Dallas at New OrleansNO -7Cowboys
Miami at Tampa BayMIA -3Dolphins
Spreads via Bovada.lv and VegasInsider.com

Note: WAS/MIN, CAR/SF, DEN/SD, DAL/NO and MIA/TB spreads via Bovada.lv. OAK/NYG, SEA/ATL, DET/CHI and HOU/ARI spreads via VegasInsider.com

 

Denver Broncos (-7) over San Diego Chargers

The Broncos have been a better team at home but not by much. The Denver offense has put up 125 points in three road appearances this season—two of which were wins.

DENVER, CO - OCTOBER 27:  Quarterback Peyton Manning #18 of the Denver Broncos scans down the field for an open receiver against the Washington Redskins at Sports Authority Field Field at Mile High on October 27, 2013 in Denver, Colorado.  (Photo by Dusti
Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

They march into San Diego to face a Chargers team that got the wind knocked out of their sails last weekend with a brutal overtime defeat to Washington—a game that they were one yard away from winning in regulation.

Denver's laughable secondary has posed problems this season, but the Chargers' isn't much better. San Diego ranks 27th in the league in pass defense, and Peyton Manning's historic season doesn't even have to be put into statistics—OK, he has 2,919 yards and 29 touchdowns through half of the season. 

Coming off a bye, you can bet that Jack Del Rio has been working night and day with his defense to get things figured out. It's hard to see Manning and company missing a beat after having a week off to perfect their craft.

Prediction: Broncos 44, Chargers 30

 

Seattle Seahawks (-6) over Atlanta Falcons

SEATTLE, WA - NOVEMBER 03:  Running back Marshawn Lynch #24 of the Seattle Seahawks rushes against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at CenturyLink Field on November 3, 2013 in Seattle, Washington.  (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)
Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

This season has been a tale of two very different stories for these two teams. 

Although Seattle came into the season as a Super Bowl favorite, it was hard to argue against the notion that the Falcons could be its biggest competition with a refueled Matt Ryan, two of the best wideouts in the league and a revamped run game. 

It's panned out well for the 8-1 Seahawks, but the Falcons have sputtered to a hapless 2-6 record after two lopsided losses to Arizona and Carolina (yes, Arizona and Carolina). Ryan threw a whopping seven picks in those two games.

With seven of Ryan's 10 interceptions on the season coming in the last two weeks, he couldn't face Seattle at a worse time. The secondary of Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner is a turnover machine. 

The Falcons (32nd-ranked run offense) can't run the ball to save their lives, and that will cause Pete Carroll's defense to sag back and wait for footballs to fall in its lap. 

Prediction: Seahawks 30, Falcons 14

 

San Francisco 49ers (-6) over Carolina Panthers

LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 27:  #7 Colin Kaepernick of the San Francisco 49ers looks on during the NFL International Series game between San Francisco 49ers and Jacksonville Jaguars at Wembley Stadium on October 27, 2013 in London, England.  (Photo by Char
Charlie Crowhurst/Getty Images

It sure does seem like years ago that the Niners lost two straight games by 20-plus points each.

Since Week 3, Jim Harbaugh's squad has won five straight games by a combined score of 174-61. That level of success is unreal for a five-game span in a league as parity-ridden and even as the NFL—even if none of those teams were above .500.

Things get a bit tougher for San Fran in Week 10, with a home test against the 5-3 Carolina Panthers—whose success starts and ends with stuffing the run on defense.

The Niners depend on running the ball, but the versatility they pose with Colin Kaepernick's dual-threat abilities and the reliability of backs like Kendall Hunter and Frank Gore will help them neutralize Carolina's advantage.

The Panthers haven't let up a 100-yard rusher since early in the season, but Gore hasn't needed to get to the century mark for wins this season. He's only surpassed 100 yards in two of the 49ers' six wins. 

Expect the Panthers to have to commit a little too much to stop this efficient rushing attack. In turn, that will leave lanes open for Vernon Davis to gash the middle.

Prediction: 49ers 34, Panthers 24

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