Alabama enters this weekend with the No. 1 spot in the BCS standings, but two other SEC teams are sitting on the BCS doorstep hoping that chaos ensues and they find their way to Pasadena and the 2014 BCS National Championship Game.
Missouri and Auburn.
The two Tigers both find themselves with one loss each and sit in the Top 10 of the BCS Standings. But there's a problem. Two, in fact.
No. 5 Stanford and No. 7 Clemson both are one-loss teams that are higher in the standings than No. 8 Missouri and No. 9 Auburn.
Should either of the two Tigers run the table and finish with only one loss, could they be in jeopardy of falling behind another one-loss champ from an AQ conference in the final BCS standings?
Clemson is fighting an uphill battle.
The Tigers got run 51-14 at home by Florida State and need two Seminole losses to represent the Atlantic division in the ACC Championship Game. That won't happen. While a conference title isn't a prerequisite to play in the BCS National Championship Game, Clemson has no shot to stay ahead of Missouri or Auburn if either runs the table.
That blowout loss at home—which is a big deal—won't be viewed favorably against any one-loss SEC champion.
Stanford, on the other hand, is more of a threat.
The Cardinal beat No. 3 Oregon 26-20 on Thursday night in a game that could rattle the foundation of this year's BCS standings.
That win certainly pads their resume quite a bit and certainly put them in the mix if the dominoes fall around the country for a one-loss conference champ to be included in the discussion for the BCS National Championship Game.
* - Lost a game since the latest BCS release; ** - Won a game since the latest BCS release
But human polls constitute two-thirds of the equation, which will hurt Stanford thanks to a loss to a mediocre Utah team. That's where either Missouri or Auburn could make their jump.
The jury is still out on the two Tigers from a national perspective since each flew under the radar for the first month-and-a-half of the season.
That will change if they continue to win.
Will a one-loss SEC Champ play for the BCS National Title?
If Auburn finishes with one loss, it'll have a win over Alabama and an SEC Championship Game win—likely over either Missouri or South Carolina—on its resume. Toss a road win at Texas A&M into the mix, and that's a recipe for BCS success if the door opens.
Missouri is in the same boat.
It'd have wins over Texas A&M and a victory in the SEC Championship game—likely over Alabama or Auburn—if it runs the table. Add in a road victory over Georgia, and it'd be nearly impossible to keep the Tigers out.
Auburn and Missouri don't need to worry about the one-loss teams they're currently looking up at in the BCS Standings. The SEC has earned the benefit of the doubt over these last seven seasons, and while the two Tigers were late to the BCS party this season, they'll walk through that door if it opens.
Opening it is out of their control, but we've seen odd things happen in November in each of the last two seasons.