NFL Week 10 Picks: Stone-Cold Locks Against the Spread

Alex KayCorrespondent INovember 7, 2013

Oct 27, 2013; Detroit, MI, USA; Detroit Lions linebacker Travis Lewis (50) intercepts the pass after cornerback Brandon Carr (39) knocked the ball away from Detroit Lions wide receiver Calvin Johnson (81) during the second quarter at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports
Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports

Week 10 of the 2013 NFL season is here, meaning you need to drop what you are doing and brush up on the latest lines.

Whether you plan to bet big on every game offered or make just a handful of carefully selected wagers, it is important to study the landscape of the league before diving in at the sportsbook.

Let us take a look at the updated spreads for each contest, check out my predictions for winner of each and then highlight a handful of games that are can’t-miss locks in Week 10.


Philadelphia Eagles (+1.5) over Green Bay Packers

The Eagles caught a huge break going into this one, as the Packers' superstar quarterback—Aaron Rodgers—will more than likely be out with a broken collarbone.

Philadelphia should be able to capitalize by exploiting a Green Bay secondary that is conceding 250.5 yards per contest via the air, especially with Nick Foles at the top of his game.

The second-year man out of Arizona just threw for seven touchdowns—tying an NFL record—against the Oakland Raiders and is red hot heading into this one. His receivers are in sync, and it seems that head coach Chip Kelly’s offense is finally exploding in the way that many predicted when he came over from Oregon.

It’s hard to say the same about the Packers without Rodgers in the lineup, as backup Seneca Wallace completed just 11 of 19 passes for 114 yards and an interception after taking over in the first quarter of last week's loss to the Chicago Bears.

Should the Packers offense repeatedly sputter due to a predictable over-reliance on the ground game, it will lead to bad things for the Packers in Lambeau.

While the Eagles don’t boast the best defensive unit, the squad will be able to prepare for the run against a team that averages 148.6 yards per game rushing.

Don’t be surprised when the Eagles walk away from this one with a big “W," covering the spread on the road for a second straight week.


Dallas Cowboys (+6.5) over New Orleans Saints

It’s hard to bet against the Cowboys in 2013.

According to VegasInsider, the team has covered in seven of nine contests it has been involved in and looks primed to do so yet again on Sunday Night Football.

New Orleans is coming off an ugly loss to the inconsistent New York Jets and has now dropped the ball straight up and against the spread in two of its last three games.

While it’s not time to panic in the Big Easy, a nationally televised defeat—especially at home in the Superdome—to the Cowboys may be cause for concern after five straight wins to start the campaign.

Nov 3, 2013; Arlington, TX, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo (9) celebrates after the game winning touchdown with head coach Jason Garrett against the Minnesota Vikings in the fourth quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA T
Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

However, the Cowboys are criminally underrated in this contest. The team has proven time and again that it is capable of hanging with anyone, as star quarterback Tony Romo outdueled opposing signal-caller Peyton Manning when the Broncos came to Dallas in Week 5.

While that performance still resulted in a narrow loss, a stop or two on defense would have completely changed the outcome of that game.

Fortunately, the Cowboys defense has stepped up as of late and is now the second-most opportunistic in the league.

Boasting a turnover differential of plus-10 and a total of 21 takeaways, the Cowboys are winning one of the most important parts of the game.

If they can protect the ball and force the Saints to make a critical mistake, they should not only cover the spread here but also leave NOLA with another notch in the wins column.