Texas A&M continues to win in spite of a terrible defense, which could be exposed again by Mississippi State on Saturday.
The Aggies have been moderately profitable (10-5 against the spread) lately, while the Bulldogs are hungry to win, despite a weak 1-6 ATS run as a road team.
Point spread: Texas A&M opened as 19-point favorites, and it has remained steady through mid-week. The total was 65. (Line updates and matchup report)
Odds Shark computer prediction: 48-34 Texas A&M
Why Mississippi State can cover the spread
The Bulldogs are two wins away from bowl eligibility, and even though their remaining schedule is not favorable, they have no choice but to play for victories at this point if they want to extend their season. With an explosive game plan, they might exploit one of the worst defenses in the nation.
Why Texas A&M can cover the spread
The Aggies haven't been in the headlines since Johnny Manziel last made news over something that probably didn't have anything to do with football. But the fact is that they're looking like a team that might be headed to a BCS bowl game with one of the most electric offensive units in the nation.
They are 10-5 ATS in their past 15 games overall, according to the Odds Shark college football database.
Texas A&M rolls into this one after a lopsided 50-point win over UTEP and could be overconfident against the Bulldogs. Though the Aggies defense is nothing to write home about, Mississippi State doesn't have the same type of skill set on offense to put that many points on the board. The Aggies are the play.
Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Texas A&M is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games