College Football Predictions

Virginia Tech vs. Miami: Betting Odds Analysis and Pick Prediction

MIAMI GARDENS, FL - NOVEMBER 01: Logan Thomas #3 of the Virginia Tech Hokies is sacked by Olsen Pierre #91 of the Miami Hurricanes on November 1, 2012 at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. The Hurricanes defeated the Hokies 30-12. (Photo by Joel Auerbach/Getty Images)
Joel Auerbach/Getty Images
OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistNovember 6, 2013

Virginia Tech is always tough on Miami, and its 9-3 against-the-spread record in a dozen games against the Hurricanes bears that out. But the Hokies are 1-8 ATS in nine recent road games, while Miami is 8-2 ATS in 10 games at home.

Both are factors in plenty of wagering action going behind Miami.

Point spread: Miami opened as seven-point favorites; the total was 44 as of Wednesday. (Line updates and matchup report)


Odds Shark computer prediction: 27-17 Miami

 

Why Virginia Tech can cover the spread

You can never count the Hokies out of any game, especially under Frank Beamer and in ACC play. Virginia Tech is an impressive 60-17 in ACC games since joining the league in 2004, 41-8 against ACC Coastal Division teams and 29-9 in ACC road games. Virginia Tech is never an easy chore, as evidenced by its 9-3 ATS in 12 recent matches against the Hurricanes.

 

Why Miami can cover the spread

It's homecoming in South Beach, and revenge from last week is first and foremost after a loss to Florida State. The Hurricanes will be fired up for this one and bring an 11-5 all-time home mark against Virginia Tech into the game.

Look for sophomore running back Dallas Crawford to have a big game, as he's averaging a touchdown for every 7.5 offensive touches.

They are 8-2 ATS in 10 recent home games.


Smart Pick

Roll with Miami here, as the Hurricanes will be out to bounce back after last week's disappointing loss to Florida State. Miami is the better team, and if outside intangibles make any difference, Tech is 11-23 under head coach Frank Beamer at current NFL stadiums, having lost seven games in a row.

The Hokies are a disaster as a road team lately, failing to cover the number in eight of nine games.


Trends:

Virginia Tech is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games.

Virginia Tech is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Miami.

Miami is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home.


Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark—follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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