Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction ColumnistNovember 6, 2013

CINCINNATI, OH - DECEMBER 30:  Bernard Pierce #30 of the Baltimore Ravens runs the football upfield during the game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium on December 30, 2012 in Cincinnati, Ohio.  (Photo by John Grieshop/Getty Images)
John Grieshop/Getty Images

The Bengals have played five straight UNDER results in divisional play, while the Ravens are 6-1-1 to the UNDER in AFC North play. The computer likes the Bengals, while history tells us that Cincy very rarely covers the spread at Baltimore.

Point spread
: Bengals opened as 2.5-point favorites, but it was bet to even odds by Wednesday; the total opened at 44.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

Odds Shark computer prediction:
24.9-19.2 Bengals

Why the Bengals can cover the spread

The Bengals implied that playing on a short week was the main reason they looked bad against Miami last week in the Thursday night game. Well now there are no excuses, with plenty of time to prepare, and the Bengals know a division title is at stake long-term.

Why the Ravens can cover the spread

Quarterback Joe Flacco is much more competitive than he played last week against Cleveland. He completed 24 of 41 passes for 250 yards, but he started terribly—completing 5 of 15—while his longest completion came on a breakdown by Cleveland's secondary. He will play better at home.

The Bengals have covered just six times in 22 trips here over the years, according to Odds Shark.

Smart Pick

Playing minus Geno Atkins is not an easy chore for the Bengals, against any team, but the extra time will have helped prepare them for this showdown with the defending Super Bowl champs. Baltimore is not ready to concede halfway through the season, and an impressive win over the current AFC North leaders is all it might take.


Cincinnati is 6-15-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.

Bengals played five straight UNDERs in divisional games.

UNDER is 6-1-1 the past eight Ravens divisional games.

: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark—follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.