BCS Rankings 2013: Teams Set to Lose Ground in Standings After Week 11

Chris RolingFeatured ColumnistNovember 6, 2013

Oct 26, 2013; Corvallis, OR, USA; Stanford Cardinal running back Tyler Gaffney (25) runs the ball in for a touchdown against the Oregon State Beavers during the 2nd half at Reser Stadium. Stanford defeated Oregon State 20-12. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports
Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

Finally the meat of the college football schedule is here.

We've flirted with it in recent weeks, but Week 11 will finally see some titans in the collegiate realm fall and do potentially irreparable damage to the BCS rankings as a result.

Ranked matchups litter the schedule now that conference play is fully underway, and thus begins the portion of the season that crushes the hopes and dreams of many who wish to play for a national championship.

Here's a look at the standings, followed by a few teams sure to lose in Week 11 and do serious damage to their place in the rankings.

Week 11 BCS Rankings
Ranking Team BCS Average
1 Alabama (8-0) .9797
2 Florida State (8-0) .9525
3 Oregon (8-0) .9435
4 Ohio State (9-0) .8720
5 Stanford (7-1) .7930
6 Baylor (7-0) .7745
7 Clemson (8-1) .7277
8 Missouri (8-1) .6890
9 Auburn (8-1) .6686
10 Oklahoma (7-1) .6084
11 Miami (FL) (7-1) .5246
12 South Carolina (7-2) .5111
13 LSU (7-2) .4525
14 Oklahoma State (7-1) .4395
15 Texas A&M (7-2) .4365
16 Fresno State (8-0) .3675
17 Michigan State (8-1) .3394
18 Northern Illinois (9-0) .3169
19 UCLA (6-2) .2904
20 Louisville (7-1) .2510
21 UCF (6-1) .2151
22 Arizona State (6-2) .1770
23 Notre Dame (7-2) .1662
24 Wisconsin (6-2) .1288
25 Texas Tech (7-2) .0986


No. 5 Stanford

Oct 26, 2013; Corvallis, OR, USA; Stanford Cardinal quarterback Kevin Hogan (8) looks to pass the ball during the 1st half against the Oregon State Beavers at Reser Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports
Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

The Stanford Cardinal, outside of a hiccup in mid-October against Utah, have once again put together an outstanding season under head coach David Shaw as the defense ranks No. 20 nationally with just 19.4 points allowed per game.

Expect that average to take a significant jump after Week 11, while the Cardinal take a nosedive in the BCS polls.

It matters not that Heisman hopeful Marcus Mariota and No. 3 Oregon are forced to travel to Stanford Stadium. The sophomore has thrown for 2,281 yards and 20 touchdowns while completing 64 percent of his passes while he's also ran for 587 yards and nine scores. 

As a whole, Oregon averages over 55 points per game and surrenders about 17. While a 17-14 shocker at the hands of the Cardinal last year will be fresh on the mind, the Ducks won't allow Stanford's Tyler Gaffney to control the pace of the game on the ground.

No, Oregon will dictate the pace by getting out to an early lead and eliminating the Cardinal ground game entirely.


No. 10 Oklahoma

Hats off to the 7-1 Oklahoma Sooners for a stellar season minus the Red River Rivalry debacle, but the joy ride and flirtation in the Top 10 is over.

Oklahoma has been fortunate to score a little over 30 points per game this season. No. 6 Baylor? The Bears just win by an average of 48 points and average 63.9 points and 718.4 total yards per game while scoring 70 or more points in four games this year.

At some point the argument about weak competition goes out the window—consistency such as that at any level against any competition is impressive.

As if shutting down that electric offense was not enough, Oklahoma has had issues traveling to Floyd Casey Stadium recently:

The key for Oklahoma is simple—keep the Baylor offense off the field. That's easier said than done, and Lache Seastrunk (869 yards and 11 touchdowns) and Co. will get out to an early lead and never look back.


No. 13 LSU

While no "Game of the Century," LSU and No. 1 Alabama are set to clash on Saturday night in a game worthy of the national spotlight.

LSU has already stumbled twice this year in contests with then-ranked No. 9 Georgia and Ole Miss, but Les Miles' team always seems to give the Crimson Tide the most issues.

Oct 26, 2013; Tuscaloosa, AL, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback A.J. McCarron (10) calls off defense at the line against the Tennessee Volunteers during the first quarter at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
John David Mercer-USA TODAY Spor

Issues are exactly what Nick Saban's team has not encountered this season. Alabama scores over 41 points per game and leads the nation with just 9.8 points allowed per game—counting 42 surrendered against Johnny Manziel and Texas A&M.

While both teams seem similarly matched, the hiccups the Tigers have experienced are concerning, and a trip to Bryant-Denny Stadium is no joke.

Alabama is simply too good this year with quarterback A.J. McCarron playing at a high level with 16 touchdowns to only three interceptions. Backed by an elite defense, the Crimson Tide win handily.