The NFL has been as unpredictable as it gets in 2013, but as is the case every week, Week 10 is littered with favorable odds for strong bettors.
Predictions against the spread can be murky affairs, but sometimes a favorite is so sure a thing it would be erroneous not to take even the biggest of spreads.
The following odds are designed in such a way to entice bettors into mistakes, but these matchups are locks. Whether it's a very lopsided matchup, a roster riddled with injuries or a not-so-close matchup between rivals, here are the safest picks of the week.
|Away Team||Home Team||Line||Prediction (ATS)|
|Washington Redskins||Minnesota Vikings||WAS -2.5||Vikings|
|Oakland Raiders||New York Giants||NYG -7.5||Raiders|
|Seattle Seahawks||Atlanta Falcons||SEA -6||Seahawks|
|Detroit Lions||Chicago Bears||DET -2.5||Detroit|
|Philadelphia Eagles||Green Bay Packers||GB -1.5||Philadelphia|
|Jacksonville Jaguars||Tennessee Titans||TEN -12||Titans|
|St. Louis Rams||Indianapolis Colts||IND -9.5||Colts|
|Buffalo Bills||Pittsburgh Steelers||PIT -3||Bills|
|Cincinnati Bengals||Baltimore Ravens||CIN -1.5||Bengals|
|Carolina Panthers||San Francisco 49ers||SF -6||Carolina|
|Houston Texans||Arizona Cardinals||ARZ -3 EV||Texans|
|Denver Broncos||San Diego Chargers||DEN -7||Broncos|
|Dallas Cowboys||New Orleans Saints||NO -7||Cowboys|
|Miami Dolphins||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||MIA -2.5||Dolphins|
Odds courtesy of Vegas Insider
Tennessee (-12.5) Simply the Latest to Abuse Jacksonville
At just .500, the Tennessee Titans have not exactly been reliable in the spreads department, but they are the safest pick of all thanks to a matchup with the winless Jacksonville Jaguars.
What's not to like?
Quarterback Jake Locker is a streaky player who went off for over 300 yards just two games ago after a return from injury. Even better, back Chris Johnson awoke from his slumber in Week 9 and went off for 150 yards and two touchdowns.
Meanwhile, Jacksonville ranks dead last in the NFL with 161.8 rushing yards allowed per game, and opposing teams beat the Jaguars by an average score of 33-11.
That's a 22-point differential, meaning the current spread may be far too kind. Expect the Titans offense to explode when Jacksonville comes to town.
Indianapolis (-12) Obliterates St. Louis
The Indianapolis Colts received a scare from the Houston Texans in Week 9.
That's a big problem for St. Louis.
St. Louis is battered and bruised as it is. The Rams lost a tough game in Week 8 and turned around on a short week last Sunday to lose once again. Now, they're forced to travel to Indianapolis to face the 6-2 Colts without starting quarterback Sam Bradford.
The Colts are also down a big star with Reggie Wayne out for the year, but T.Y. Hilton has already blossomed in his absence and racked up 121 yards and three touchdowns against Houston:
T.Y. Hilton: 4th TD catch of 50 or more yards since start of last season. Only A.J. Green (5) has more in that span— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) November 4, 2013
T.Y. Hilton - 7/121/3. Can you believe Reggie Wayne has had one 3-TD game in his career (2006 masterpiece in Denver)?— Scott Kacsmar (@FO_ScottKacsmar) November 4, 2013
The same cannot be said for Kellen Clemens, who has a single touchdown to two interceptions, in place of Bradford.
Look for Andrew Luck and the Colts to win in a big way over a stunted St. Louis squad—the former is headed back to the playoffs, while the latter has eyes on the 2014 draft.
Cincinnati (-1.5) Upends Baltimore
The defending champs are reeling and ready to hit the canvas.
Cincinnati isn't in much better condition—hence why the spread is so close.
Alas, the favorite is the way to go here. Cincinnati is coming off an embarrassing loss via overtime safety and may be without star defensive tackle Geno Atkins for the rest of the season, per ESPN's Coley Harvey, but the Ravens are somehow even worse.
The best part? There's not really an excuse. Baltimore resides in third place in the AFC North after a humbling loss to Cleveland. Joe Flacco is nowhere near a $100 million player and has thrown 10 touchdowns to nine interceptions.
Star back Ray Rice? He might as well not even take the field. Rice averages 2.7 yards per carry this season and has scored three times.
The Baltimore defense looks nothing like the elite units of the past while Andy Dalton leads the NFL's No. 7 passing attack. Cincinnati will have little issue going to Baltimore and making bettors happy.